Missouri's 5th congressional district has shifted toward Republican advantage following 2025 redistricting that added rural counties east of Kansas City, diluting the urban Democratic base and creating a more competitive or GOP-leaning map. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, seeking reelection in the August 4 primary and November 3 general, now faces a crowded Republican primary field including state Sen. Rick Brattin and others. Ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting the map's structural changes and Missouri's Republican legislative control. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee over Cleaver in the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
69%
民主党
30%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$1,729 交易量
69%
民主党
$1,171 交易量
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 5th congressional district has shifted toward Republican advantage following 2025 redistricting that added rural counties east of Kansas City, diluting the urban Democratic base and creating a more competitive or GOP-leaning map. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, seeking reelection in the August 4 primary and November 3 general, now faces a crowded Republican primary field including state Sen. Rick Brattin and others. Ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting the map's structural changes and Missouri's Republican legislative control. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee over Cleaver in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
交易量
$2,901结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 5th congressional district has shifted toward Republican advantage following 2025 redistricting that added rural counties east of Kansas City, diluting the urban Democratic base and creating a more competitive or GOP-leaning map. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, seeking reelection in the August 4 primary and November 3 general, now faces a crowded Republican primary field including state Sen. Rick Brattin and others. Ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting the map's structural changes and Missouri's Republican legislative control. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee over Cleaver in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,901结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 5th congressional district has shifted toward Republican advantage following 2025 redistricting that added rural counties east of Kansas City, diluting the urban Democratic base and creating a more competitive or GOP-leaning map. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, seeking reelection in the August 4 primary and November 3 general, now faces a crowded Republican primary field including state Sen. Rick Brattin and others. Ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting the map's structural changes and Missouri's Republican legislative control. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee over Cleaver in the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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