The recent Missouri Supreme Court ruling upholding the 2025 redistricting plan has shifted trader focus toward Republican prospects in the district. The new map incorporates additional rural counties and suburban areas, moving the seat from a Democratic-leaning composition to one rated R+9 by Cook Political Report and assessed as Solid Republican. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver faces an August primary while multiple Republicans compete in theirs ahead of the November general election. These structural changes, combined with the state's broader Republican control of the legislature and governorship, underpin the current 66% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Traders continue to monitor primary outcomes and any late adjustments to the map for potential shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
61%
民主党
44%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$1,729 交易量
61%
民主党
$1,164 交易量
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The recent Missouri Supreme Court ruling upholding the 2025 redistricting plan has shifted trader focus toward Republican prospects in the district. The new map incorporates additional rural counties and suburban areas, moving the seat from a Democratic-leaning composition to one rated R+9 by Cook Political Report and assessed as Solid Republican. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver faces an August primary while multiple Republicans compete in theirs ahead of the November general election. These structural changes, combined with the state's broader Republican control of the legislature and governorship, underpin the current 66% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Traders continue to monitor primary outcomes and any late adjustments to the map for potential shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
交易量
$2,893结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The recent Missouri Supreme Court ruling upholding the 2025 redistricting plan has shifted trader focus toward Republican prospects in the district. The new map incorporates additional rural counties and suburban areas, moving the seat from a Democratic-leaning composition to one rated R+9 by Cook Political Report and assessed as Solid Republican. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver faces an August primary while multiple Republicans compete in theirs ahead of the November general election. These structural changes, combined with the state's broader Republican control of the legislature and governorship, underpin the current 66% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Traders continue to monitor primary outcomes and any late adjustments to the map for potential shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,893结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The recent Missouri Supreme Court ruling upholding the 2025 redistricting plan has shifted trader focus toward Republican prospects in the district. The new map incorporates additional rural counties and suburban areas, moving the seat from a Democratic-leaning composition to one rated R+9 by Cook Political Report and assessed as Solid Republican. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver faces an August primary while multiple Republicans compete in theirs ahead of the November general election. These structural changes, combined with the state's broader Republican control of the legislature and governorship, underpin the current 66% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Traders continue to monitor primary outcomes and any late adjustments to the map for potential shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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