Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in its Solid R rating from forecasters and a partisan voting index that has consistently favored GOP candidates. Incumbent Representative Mark Alford, first elected in 2022 and re-elected in 2024 with over 70 percent of the vote, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest and enters the November general election with structural advantages including name recognition and fundraising. Redistricting completed by the Republican-controlled legislature preserved the district's core rural and suburban character stretching from southern Jackson County through the Lake of the Ozarks region. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though an unexpected primary defeat or late-cycle development such as a major scandal could still alter the outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,527 交易量
$33,527 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
$33,527 交易量
$33,527 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$19,377 交易量
94%
民主党
$14,150 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in its Solid R rating from forecasters and a partisan voting index that has consistently favored GOP candidates. Incumbent Representative Mark Alford, first elected in 2022 and re-elected in 2024 with over 70 percent of the vote, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest and enters the November general election with structural advantages including name recognition and fundraising. Redistricting completed by the Republican-controlled legislature preserved the district's core rural and suburban character stretching from southern Jackson County through the Lake of the Ozarks region. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though an unexpected primary defeat or late-cycle development such as a major scandal could still alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$33,527结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in its Solid R rating from forecasters and a partisan voting index that has consistently favored GOP candidates. Incumbent Representative Mark Alford, first elected in 2022 and re-elected in 2024 with over 70 percent of the vote, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest and enters the November general election with structural advantages including name recognition and fundraising. Redistricting completed by the Republican-controlled legislature preserved the district's core rural and suburban character stretching from southern Jackson County through the Lake of the Ozarks region. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though an unexpected primary defeat or late-cycle development such as a major scandal could still alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,527结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in its Solid R rating from forecasters and a partisan voting index that has consistently favored GOP candidates. Incumbent Representative Mark Alford, first elected in 2022 and re-elected in 2024 with over 70 percent of the vote, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest and enters the November general election with structural advantages including name recognition and fundraising. Redistricting completed by the Republican-controlled legislature preserved the district's core rural and suburban character stretching from southern Jackson County through the Lake of the Ozarks region. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though an unexpected primary defeat or late-cycle development such as a major scandal could still alter the outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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