Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the 2024 presidential results and the Cook Political Report's Solid R rating. Incumbent Republican Mark Alford, first elected in 2022, faces primary challengers on August 4 but holds a clear path to the nomination in this rural and suburban district stretching from parts of Kansas City southward. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their primary, yet the seat's consistent partisan lean and historical margins limit general election prospects on November 3. Recent redistricting upheld by the state supreme court in March has not altered the underlying electoral math. Late developments such as an unexpected primary outcome or national political shifts could narrow the gap, though structural advantages strongly favor Republican retention.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$31,204 交易量
$31,204 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$31,204 交易量
$31,204 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$17,284 交易量
93%
民主党
$13,920 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the 2024 presidential results and the Cook Political Report's Solid R rating. Incumbent Republican Mark Alford, first elected in 2022, faces primary challengers on August 4 but holds a clear path to the nomination in this rural and suburban district stretching from parts of Kansas City southward. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their primary, yet the seat's consistent partisan lean and historical margins limit general election prospects on November 3. Recent redistricting upheld by the state supreme court in March has not altered the underlying electoral math. Late developments such as an unexpected primary outcome or national political shifts could narrow the gap, though structural advantages strongly favor Republican retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$31,204结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the 2024 presidential results and the Cook Political Report's Solid R rating. Incumbent Republican Mark Alford, first elected in 2022, faces primary challengers on August 4 but holds a clear path to the nomination in this rural and suburban district stretching from parts of Kansas City southward. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their primary, yet the seat's consistent partisan lean and historical margins limit general election prospects on November 3. Recent redistricting upheld by the state supreme court in March has not altered the underlying electoral math. Late developments such as an unexpected primary outcome or national political shifts could narrow the gap, though structural advantages strongly favor Republican retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$31,204结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the 2024 presidential results and the Cook Political Report's Solid R rating. Incumbent Republican Mark Alford, first elected in 2022, faces primary challengers on August 4 but holds a clear path to the nomination in this rural and suburban district stretching from parts of Kansas City southward. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their primary, yet the seat's consistent partisan lean and historical margins limit general election prospects on November 3. Recent redistricting upheld by the state supreme court in March has not altered the underlying electoral math. Late developments such as an unexpected primary outcome or national political shifts could narrow the gap, though structural advantages strongly favor Republican retention.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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