The district’s Republican lean, anchored by its suburban St. Louis footprint and R+6 partisan voting index, combined with incumbent Ann Wagner’s established record since 2012, underpins the Republican Party’s 77.5% market share. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Wagner’s prior 54.5% general-election performance and limited Democratic inroads despite national party targeting. The Democratic primary on August 4 features several contenders led by Frederick Wellman, but no candidate has altered the broader competitive landscape. Recent endorsements and fundraising among Democrats have not shifted ratings or polling aggregates enough to narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
77%
民主党
20%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,128 交易量
77%
民主党
$2,217 交易量
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s Republican lean, anchored by its suburban St. Louis footprint and R+6 partisan voting index, combined with incumbent Ann Wagner’s established record since 2012, underpins the Republican Party’s 77.5% market share. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Wagner’s prior 54.5% general-election performance and limited Democratic inroads despite national party targeting. The Democratic primary on August 4 features several contenders led by Frederick Wellman, but no candidate has altered the broader competitive landscape. Recent endorsements and fundraising among Democrats have not shifted ratings or polling aggregates enough to narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$5,345结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s Republican lean, anchored by its suburban St. Louis footprint and R+6 partisan voting index, combined with incumbent Ann Wagner’s established record since 2012, underpins the Republican Party’s 77.5% market share. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Wagner’s prior 54.5% general-election performance and limited Democratic inroads despite national party targeting. The Democratic primary on August 4 features several contenders led by Frederick Wellman, but no candidate has altered the broader competitive landscape. Recent endorsements and fundraising among Democrats have not shifted ratings or polling aggregates enough to narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,345结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district’s Republican lean, anchored by its suburban St. Louis footprint and R+6 partisan voting index, combined with incumbent Ann Wagner’s established record since 2012, underpins the Republican Party’s 77.5% market share. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Wagner’s prior 54.5% general-election performance and limited Democratic inroads despite national party targeting. The Democratic primary on August 4 features several contenders led by Frederick Wellman, but no candidate has altered the broader competitive landscape. Recent endorsements and fundraising among Democrats have not shifted ratings or polling aggregates enough to narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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