Trader consensus on Polymarket's AL Manager of the Year market reflects extreme early-season parity after one week of 2026 play, with top implied probabilities tightly clustered at 42-43.5% for Derek Shelton (Twins, 1-3 but rebound potential post-Pirates hire), Skip Schumaker (Rangers, leading AL West at 4-1 in debut year), Aaron Boone (Yankees, 4-1 atop AL East), A.J. Hinch (Tigers, 2-3 amid low preseason expectations), and Mark Kotsay (Athletics, 1-4 with roster constraints). New managers like Craig Albernaz (Orioles, 2-3), Joe Espada (Astros, 4-2), and Stephen Vogt (Guardians, 3-3) cluster nearby, as division standings, recent form streaks (e.g., Rangers' W4), pitching rotations, and bullpen usage signal multiple overachievement paths in a crowded wild card race. Sustained health and schedule strength will separate frontrunners over 162 games.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Aaron Boone 44%
Stephen Vogt 42%
Alex Cora 41.8%
A.J. Hinch 42%
$28,267 交易量
$28,267 交易量
Aaron Boone
44%
Stephen Vogt
42%
Alex Cora
42%
A.J. Hinch
42%
John Schneider
41%
Craig Albernaz
41%
Mark Kotsay
40%
Dan Wilson
39%
Skip Schumaker
38%
Kurt Suzuki
24%
Derek Shelton
14%
Matt Quatraro
14%
Will Venable
14%
Kevin Cash
14%
Joe Espada
13%
Aaron Boone 44%
Stephen Vogt 42%
Alex Cora 41.8%
A.J. Hinch 42%
$28,267 交易量
$28,267 交易量
Aaron Boone
44%
Stephen Vogt
42%
Alex Cora
42%
A.J. Hinch
42%
John Schneider
41%
Craig Albernaz
41%
Mark Kotsay
40%
Dan Wilson
39%
Skip Schumaker
38%
Kurt Suzuki
24%
Derek Shelton
14%
Matt Quatraro
14%
Will Venable
14%
Kevin Cash
14%
Joe Espada
13%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 26, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's AL Manager of the Year market reflects extreme early-season parity after one week of 2026 play, with top implied probabilities tightly clustered at 42-43.5% for Derek Shelton (Twins, 1-3 but rebound potential post-Pirates hire), Skip Schumaker (Rangers, leading AL West at 4-1 in debut year), Aaron Boone (Yankees, 4-1 atop AL East), A.J. Hinch (Tigers, 2-3 amid low preseason expectations), and Mark Kotsay (Athletics, 1-4 with roster constraints). New managers like Craig Albernaz (Orioles, 2-3), Joe Espada (Astros, 4-2), and Stephen Vogt (Guardians, 3-3) cluster nearby, as division standings, recent form streaks (e.g., Rangers' W4), pitching rotations, and bullpen usage signal multiple overachievement paths in a crowded wild card race. Sustained health and schedule strength will separate frontrunners over 162 games.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题