Trader consensus positions Shohei Ohtani as the clear NL Hank Aaron Award favorite at 36% implied probability for 2026, building on his back-to-back wins including 55 home runs in 2025, with FanGraphs Steamer projecting him for an MLB-best 44 homers and elite OPS as the Dodgers' DH. Juan Soto ranks second at 23.5% after a strong .921 OPS debut Mets season, bolstering New York's lineup. Kyle Schwarber's 17.0% share stems from leading the NL with 56 homers last year and recent spring training bombs, like his March 22 clout versus the Yankees, fueling power projections. Ronald Acuña Jr. at 17.9% benefits from full health post-ACL recovery, while no major injuries alter the top contenders entering Opening Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于MLB ： 2026年NL Hank Aaron获胜者
MLB ： 2026年NL Hank Aaron获胜者
大谷翔平 36%
胡安·索托 24%
罗纳德·阿库尼亚 Jr. 17.8%
凯尔·施瓦伯 17%
$114,411 交易量
$114,411 交易量
Nov 13, 2026
大谷翔平
36%
胡安·索托
24%
罗纳德·阿库尼亚 Jr.
18%
凯尔·施瓦伯
17%
费尔南多·塔蒂斯 Jr.
3%
布莱斯·哈珀
3%
穆奇·贝茨
2%
Ketel Marte
<1%
弗朗西斯科·林多尔
<1%
皮特·克劳-阿姆斯特朗
<1%
大谷翔平 36%
胡安·索托 24%
罗纳德·阿库尼亚 Jr. 17.8%
凯尔·施瓦伯 17%
$114,411 交易量
$114,411 交易量
Nov 13, 2026
大谷翔平
$3,068 交易量
36%
胡安·索托
$30,151 交易量
24%
罗纳德·阿库尼亚 Jr.
$127 交易量
18%
凯尔·施瓦伯
$80,398 交易量
17%
费尔南多·塔蒂斯 Jr.
$88 交易量
3%
布莱斯·哈珀
$84 交易量
3%
穆奇·贝茨
$84 交易量
2%
Ketel Marte
$110 交易量
<1%
弗朗西斯科·林多尔
$103 交易量
<1%
皮特·克劳-阿姆斯特朗
$199 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Shohei Ohtani as the clear NL Hank Aaron Award favorite at 36% implied probability for 2026, building on his back-to-back wins including 55 home runs in 2025, with FanGraphs Steamer projecting him for an MLB-best 44 homers and elite OPS as the Dodgers' DH. Juan Soto ranks second at 23.5% after a strong .921 OPS debut Mets season, bolstering New York's lineup. Kyle Schwarber's 17.0% share stems from leading the NL with 56 homers last year and recent spring training bombs, like his March 22 clout versus the Yankees, fueling power projections. Ronald Acuña Jr. at 17.9% benefits from full health post-ACL recovery, while no major injuries alter the top contenders entering Opening Day.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
交易量
$114,411结束日期
Nov 13, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Shohei Ohtani as the clear NL Hank Aaron Award favorite at 36% implied probability for 2026, building on his back-to-back wins including 55 home runs in 2025, with FanGraphs Steamer projecting him for an MLB-best 44 homers and elite OPS as the Dodgers' DH. Juan Soto ranks second at 23.5% after a strong .921 OPS debut Mets season, bolstering New York's lineup. Kyle Schwarber's 17.0% share stems from leading the NL with 56 homers last year and recent spring training bombs, like his March 22 clout versus the Yankees, fueling power projections. Ronald Acuña Jr. at 17.9% benefits from full health post-ACL recovery, while no major injuries alter the top contenders entering Opening Day.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$114,411结束日期
Nov 13, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions Shohei Ohtani as the clear NL Hank Aaron Award favorite at 36% implied probability for 2026, building on his back-to-back wins including 55 home runs in 2025, with FanGraphs Steamer projecting him for an MLB-best 44 homers and elite OPS as the Dodgers' DH. Juan Soto ranks second at 23.5% after a strong .921 OPS debut Mets season, bolstering New York's lineup. Kyle Schwarber's 17.0% share stems from leading the NL with 56 homers last year and recent spring training bombs, like his March 22 clout versus the Yankees, fueling power projections. Ronald Acuña Jr. at 17.9% benefits from full health post-ACL recovery, while no major injuries alter the top contenders entering Opening Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题