Trader consensus favors the New York Yankees at 34% implied probability to win the 2026 AL East, driven by their MLB-leading 2025 offense in homers and runs, roster continuity with re-signings like Cody Bellinger and Trent Grisham, Max Fried's addition who tossed 6⅓ scoreless frames in an Opening Night shutout of the Giants, and Gerrit Cole's projected late-May return post-Tommy John surgery. Defending champions Toronto Blue Jays sit at 23.5% after their 94-68 title run and AL pennant but lost Bo Bichette and face early rotation ailments including José Berríos on the IL despite Dylan Cease signing. Boston Red Sox (22.5%) bolstered their staff via Sonny Gray and Ranger Suárez acquisitions, while Baltimore Orioles (20.5%) added Pete Alonso and Taylor Ward to rebound from a disappointing 2025; Tampa Bay Rays trail at 6.3% with payroll-constrained tweaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于New York Yankees 37%
Toronto Blue Jays 33%
Boston Red Sox 23%
Baltimore Orioles 21%
New York Yankees
37%
Toronto Blue Jays
24%
Boston Red Sox
23%
Baltimore Orioles
21%
Tampa Bay Rays
6%
New York Yankees 37%
Toronto Blue Jays 33%
Boston Red Sox 23%
Baltimore Orioles 21%
New York Yankees
37%
Toronto Blue Jays
24%
Boston Red Sox
23%
Baltimore Orioles
21%
Tampa Bay Rays
6%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Feb 19, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors the New York Yankees at 34% implied probability to win the 2026 AL East, driven by their MLB-leading 2025 offense in homers and runs, roster continuity with re-signings like Cody Bellinger and Trent Grisham, Max Fried's addition who tossed 6⅓ scoreless frames in an Opening Night shutout of the Giants, and Gerrit Cole's projected late-May return post-Tommy John surgery. Defending champions Toronto Blue Jays sit at 23.5% after their 94-68 title run and AL pennant but lost Bo Bichette and face early rotation ailments including José Berríos on the IL despite Dylan Cease signing. Boston Red Sox (22.5%) bolstered their staff via Sonny Gray and Ranger Suárez acquisitions, while Baltimore Orioles (20.5%) added Pete Alonso and Taylor Ward to rebound from a disappointing 2025; Tampa Bay Rays trail at 6.3% with payroll-constrained tweaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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