Trader consensus favors under $32 million for "Michael's" third domestic weekend at 43% implied probability, driven by a 44% drop to $54 million in its second frame despite opening to a record $97 million biopic debut, signaling frontloaded fan turnout amid poor critical reception that caps word-of-mouth momentum. Jaafar Jackson's portrayal and Antoine Fuqua's direction earned an A- CinemaScore from audiences, pushing the film past $195 million domestic and $430 million worldwide cume, but stiff competition from "The Devil Wears Prada 2's" massive $77 million opening looms large for May 8-10. Historical biopic legs around 2.0x opening suggest further erosion unless holdover demand surprises, with tracking updates key ahead of finals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于“迈克尔”第三周末票房
“迈克尔”第三周末票房
3500万-3800万 57.0%
3200万-3500万 28%
低于3200万 11%
>3800万 8.6%
最新
$29,275 交易量
最新
$29,275 交易量
2026-05-11
低于3200万
11%
3200万-3500万
28%
3500万-3800万
57%
>3800万
9%
3500万-3800万 57.0%
3200万-3500万 28%
低于3200万 11%
>3800万 8.6%
最新
$29,275 交易量
最新
$29,275 交易量
2026-05-11
低于3200万
$19,405 交易量
11%
3200万-3500万
$3,333 交易量
28%
3500万-3800万
$1,932 交易量
57%
>3800万
$5,116 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus favors under $32 million for "Michael's" third domestic weekend at 43% implied probability, driven by a 44% drop to $54 million in its second frame despite opening to a record $97 million biopic debut, signaling frontloaded fan turnout amid poor critical reception that caps word-of-mouth momentum. Jaafar Jackson's portrayal and Antoine Fuqua's direction earned an A- CinemaScore from audiences, pushing the film past $195 million domestic and $430 million worldwide cume, but stiff competition from "The Devil Wears Prada 2's" massive $77 million opening looms large for May 8-10. Historical biopic legs around 2.0x opening suggest further erosion unless holdover demand surprises, with tracking updates key ahead of finals.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
交易量
$29,275结束日期
2026-05-11市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus favors under $32 million for "Michael's" third domestic weekend at 43% implied probability, driven by a 44% drop to $54 million in its second frame despite opening to a record $97 million biopic debut, signaling frontloaded fan turnout amid poor critical reception that caps word-of-mouth momentum. Jaafar Jackson's portrayal and Antoine Fuqua's direction earned an A- CinemaScore from audiences, pushing the film past $195 million domestic and $430 million worldwide cume, but stiff competition from "The Devil Wears Prada 2's" massive $77 million opening looms large for May 8-10. Historical biopic legs around 2.0x opening suggest further erosion unless holdover demand surprises, with tracking updates key ahead of finals.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$29,275结束日期
2026-05-11市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors under $32 million for "Michael's" third domestic weekend at 43% implied probability, driven by a 44% drop to $54 million in its second frame despite opening to a record $97 million biopic debut, signaling frontloaded fan turnout amid poor critical reception that caps word-of-mouth momentum. Jaafar Jackson's portrayal and Antoine Fuqua's direction earned an A- CinemaScore from audiences, pushing the film past $195 million domestic and $430 million worldwide cume, but stiff competition from "The Devil Wears Prada 2's" massive $77 million opening looms large for May 8-10. Historical biopic legs around 2.0x opening suggest further erosion unless holdover demand surprises, with tracking updates key ahead of finals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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