Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs the 35-38 million range for Michael's third domestic weekend box office, fueled by robust Friday earnings near $9 million despite losing IMAX screens, a projected Mother's Day Sunday uplift on May 10, and exceptional word-of-mouth yielding just a 44% drop to $54 million in weekend two after a record-shattering $97 million debut for a musical biopic. High audience scores counter poor critical reception, driving repeat viewership and legs of 2.5x the opener, with cumulative domestic now topping $240 million en route to eclipsing Bohemian Rhapsody's haul. Realistic upsets like a sharper-than-expected 40%+ plunge from intensifying competition or weather disruptions remain slim given steady per-theater averages and third-place hold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于“迈克尔”第三周末票房
“迈克尔”第三周末票房
3500万-3800万 100.0%
低于3200万 <1%
3200万-3500万 <1%
>3800万 <1%
$633,162 交易量
$633,162 交易量
2026-05-11
低于3200万
否
3200万-3500万
否
3500万-3800万
是
>3800万
否
3500万-3800万 100.0%
低于3200万 <1%
3200万-3500万 <1%
>3800万 <1%
$633,162 交易量
$633,162 交易量
2026-05-11
低于3200万
$110,765 交易量
否
3200万-3500万
$141,090 交易量
否
3500万-3800万
$132,683 交易量
是
>3800万
$248,625 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs the 35-38 million range for Michael's third domestic weekend box office, fueled by robust Friday earnings near $9 million despite losing IMAX screens, a projected Mother's Day Sunday uplift on May 10, and exceptional word-of-mouth yielding just a 44% drop to $54 million in weekend two after a record-shattering $97 million debut for a musical biopic. High audience scores counter poor critical reception, driving repeat viewership and legs of 2.5x the opener, with cumulative domestic now topping $240 million en route to eclipsing Bohemian Rhapsody's haul. Realistic upsets like a sharper-than-expected 40%+ plunge from intensifying competition or weather disruptions remain slim given steady per-theater averages and third-place hold.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
交易量
$633,162结束日期
2026-05-11市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs the 35-38 million range for Michael's third domestic weekend box office, fueled by robust Friday earnings near $9 million despite losing IMAX screens, a projected Mother's Day Sunday uplift on May 10, and exceptional word-of-mouth yielding just a 44% drop to $54 million in weekend two after a record-shattering $97 million debut for a musical biopic. High audience scores counter poor critical reception, driving repeat viewership and legs of 2.5x the opener, with cumulative domestic now topping $240 million en route to eclipsing Bohemian Rhapsody's haul. Realistic upsets like a sharper-than-expected 40%+ plunge from intensifying competition or weather disruptions remain slim given steady per-theater averages and third-place hold.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$633,162结束日期
2026-05-11市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs the 35-38 million range for Michael's third domestic weekend box office, fueled by robust Friday earnings near $9 million despite losing IMAX screens, a projected Mother's Day Sunday uplift on May 10, and exceptional word-of-mouth yielding just a 44% drop to $54 million in weekend two after a record-shattering $97 million debut for a musical biopic. High audience scores counter poor critical reception, driving repeat viewership and legs of 2.5x the opener, with cumulative domestic now topping $240 million en route to eclipsing Bohemian Rhapsody's haul. Realistic upsets like a sharper-than-expected 40%+ plunge from intensifying competition or weather disruptions remain slim given steady per-theater averages and third-place hold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题