Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman seeks re-election in Michigan’s 1st Congressional District, a seat with an R+11 Partisan Voter Index that has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Primary contests on August 4, 2026, feature multiple Republican challengers alongside Democratic contenders including Callie Barr and Kyle Blomquist, while the general election is set for November 3. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan alignment and Bergman’s established fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus at 71 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage, with limited recent developments altering the competitive landscape ahead of the filing deadline and primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,956 交易量
$12,956 交易量
共和党
71%
民主党
27%
$12,956 交易量
$12,956 交易量
共和党
71%
民主党
27%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman seeks re-election in Michigan’s 1st Congressional District, a seat with an R+11 Partisan Voter Index that has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Primary contests on August 4, 2026, feature multiple Republican challengers alongside Democratic contenders including Callie Barr and Kyle Blomquist, while the general election is set for November 3. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan alignment and Bergman’s established fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus at 71 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage, with limited recent developments altering the competitive landscape ahead of the filing deadline and primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题