The Republican Party holds a 71.5% implied probability in the MI-01 House race, reflecting the district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index, its Solid Republican rating from major forecasters, and the presence of incumbent Jack Bergman. Primary challengers on the Republican side and Democratic contenders including Callie Barr have filed ahead of the August 4, 2026 primaries, yet the seat’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and the November 3 general election timeline continue to anchor trader expectations. No major shifts in polling or endorsements have altered the competitive landscape in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,931 交易量
$12,931 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
72%
民主党
27%
$12,931 交易量
$12,931 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,488 交易量
72%
民主党
$6,443 交易量
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a 71.5% implied probability in the MI-01 House race, reflecting the district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index, its Solid Republican rating from major forecasters, and the presence of incumbent Jack Bergman. Primary challengers on the Republican side and Democratic contenders including Callie Barr have filed ahead of the August 4, 2026 primaries, yet the seat’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and the November 3 general election timeline continue to anchor trader expectations. No major shifts in polling or endorsements have altered the competitive landscape in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$12,931结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a 71.5% implied probability in the MI-01 House race, reflecting the district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index, its Solid Republican rating from major forecasters, and the presence of incumbent Jack Bergman. Primary challengers on the Republican side and Democratic contenders including Callie Barr have filed ahead of the August 4, 2026 primaries, yet the seat’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and the November 3 general election timeline continue to anchor trader expectations. No major shifts in polling or endorsements have altered the competitive landscape in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,931结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds a 71.5% implied probability in the MI-01 House race, reflecting the district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index, its Solid Republican rating from major forecasters, and the presence of incumbent Jack Bergman. Primary challengers on the Republican side and Democratic contenders including Callie Barr have filed ahead of the August 4, 2026 primaries, yet the seat’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and the November 3 general election timeline continue to anchor trader expectations. No major shifts in polling or endorsements have altered the competitive landscape in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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