Maryland’s 7th congressional district remains a safe Democratic seat heading into the 2026 general election, with the upcoming June 23 Democratic primary featuring incumbent Kweisi Mfume against several challengers. The district’s consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Mfume’s 80 percent share in 2024, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Republican candidates face structural barriers in a jurisdiction with limited GOP support, resulting in minimal implied probability for a Republican victory. No major developments in the past month have altered this positioning, and forecasters continue to rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic. The primary outcome will shape the general-election matchup but is unlikely to shift the overall party contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,544 交易量
$15,544 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
3%
民主党
63%
$15,544 交易量
$15,544 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,372 交易量
3%
民主党
$9,171 交易量
63%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district remains a safe Democratic seat heading into the 2026 general election, with the upcoming June 23 Democratic primary featuring incumbent Kweisi Mfume against several challengers. The district’s consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Mfume’s 80 percent share in 2024, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Republican candidates face structural barriers in a jurisdiction with limited GOP support, resulting in minimal implied probability for a Republican victory. No major developments in the past month have altered this positioning, and forecasters continue to rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic. The primary outcome will shape the general-election matchup but is unlikely to shift the overall party contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$15,544结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district remains a safe Democratic seat heading into the 2026 general election, with the upcoming June 23 Democratic primary featuring incumbent Kweisi Mfume against several challengers. The district’s consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Mfume’s 80 percent share in 2024, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Republican candidates face structural barriers in a jurisdiction with limited GOP support, resulting in minimal implied probability for a Republican victory. No major developments in the past month have altered this positioning, and forecasters continue to rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic. The primary outcome will shape the general-election matchup but is unlikely to shift the overall party contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,544结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 7th congressional district remains a safe Democratic seat heading into the 2026 general election, with the upcoming June 23 Democratic primary featuring incumbent Kweisi Mfume against several challengers. The district’s consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Mfume’s 80 percent share in 2024, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Republican candidates face structural barriers in a jurisdiction with limited GOP support, resulting in minimal implied probability for a Republican victory. No major developments in the past month have altered this positioning, and forecasters continue to rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic. The primary outcome will shape the general-election matchup but is unlikely to shift the overall party contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题