Trader consensus has locked in at virtually 100% implied probability for Ye's 'BULLY' posting 150k-175k first-week units, driven by final Hits Daily Double trackers reporting 153k total activity—including 56k pure sales and robust streaming—as of April 4. Initial projections soared above 250k but dipped mid-week to 117k amid mixed critical reception and Ye's pre-release controversies, only for a late streaming surge—the year's top hip-hop debut—to rebound figures, underscoring his loyal fanbase's resilience without major label backing. This positions 'BULLY' for a #2 Billboard 200 debut behind BTS' 'ARIRANG'. Upsets below 150k are improbable barring rare audit adjustments, with official chart confirmation due next week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Kanye West “欺负”第一周专辑销售? (下限)
Kanye West “欺负”第一周专辑销售? (下限)
150k-175k 100.0%
少于15万 <1%
17.5万-20万 <1%
20万-22.5万 <1%
$68,657 交易量
$68,657 交易量
少于15万
否
150k-175k
是
17.5万-20万
否
20万-22.5万
否
22.5万-25万
否
25万-27.5万
否
27.5万-30万
否
30万+
否
150k-175k 100.0%
少于15万 <1%
17.5万-20万 <1%
20万-22.5万 <1%
$68,657 交易量
$68,657 交易量
少于15万
否
150k-175k
是
17.5万-20万
否
20万-22.5万
否
22.5万-25万
否
25万-27.5万
否
27.5万-30万
否
30万+
否
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市场开放时间: Mar 30, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus has locked in at virtually 100% implied probability for Ye's 'BULLY' posting 150k-175k first-week units, driven by final Hits Daily Double trackers reporting 153k total activity—including 56k pure sales and robust streaming—as of April 4. Initial projections soared above 250k but dipped mid-week to 117k amid mixed critical reception and Ye's pre-release controversies, only for a late streaming surge—the year's top hip-hop debut—to rebound figures, underscoring his loyal fanbase's resilience without major label backing. This positions 'BULLY' for a #2 Billboard 200 debut behind BTS' 'ARIRANG'. Upsets below 150k are improbable barring rare audit adjustments, with official chart confirmation due next week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题