January 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
>1.34 100.0%
<1.20 <1%
1.20-1.24 <1%
1.25-1.29 <1%
$4,925,571 交易量
$4,925,571 交易量
Jan 31, 2025
<1.20
$1,059,734 交易量
No
<1.20
$1,059,734 交易量
No
1.20-1.24
$998,803 交易量
No
1.20-1.24
$998,803 交易量
No
1.25-1.29
$1,001,356 交易量
No
1.25-1.29
$1,001,356 交易量
No
1.30-1.34
$778,593 交易量
No
1.30-1.34
$778,593 交易量
No
>1.34
$1,087,085 交易量
Yes
>1.34
$1,087,085 交易量
Yes
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2025 shows an increase of less than 1.20°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of less than 1.20°C for January 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for January 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for January 2025 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
An anomaly of less than 1.20°C for January 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for January 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for January 2025 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
创建于： Jan 13, 2025, 3:49 PM ET
交易量
$4,925,571结束日期
Jan 31, 2025创建于
Jan 13, 2025, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
January 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
>1.34 100.0%
<1.20 <1%
1.20-1.24 <1%
1.25-1.29 <1%
$4,925,571 交易量
$4,925,571 交易量
Jan 31, 2025
<1.20
$1,059,734 交易量
No
1.20-1.24
$998,803 交易量
No
1.25-1.29
$1,001,356 交易量
No
1.30-1.34
$778,593 交易量
No
>1.34
$1,087,085 交易量
Yes
关于
交易量
$4,925,571结束日期
Jan 31, 2025创建于
Jan 13, 2025, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...注意外部链接。
注意外部链接。
注意外部链接。
注意外部链接。