Recent April ISM Services PMI data at 53.6, down 0.4 points from March amid a sharp drop in new orders to 53.5 and second straight month of employment contraction, has left trader expectations for the May reading evenly balanced across the 50–55 range. Geopolitical tensions from the Middle East conflict continue to elevate input prices to multi-year highs while dampening order volumes, even as business activity holds above 55 and the broader services sector sustains moderate expansion consistent with Q1 GDP growth near 1.6–2.0%. This mix of softening demand indicators against resilient activity keeps multiple outcome bins within 1–2 percentage points of each other on Polymarket, reflecting uncertainty ahead of the June 3 release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于55.0以上 94%
52.0–52.9 49%
49.0–49.9 48%
50.0–50.9 48%
<47.0
23%
47.0–47.9
37%
48.0–48.9
47%
49.0–49.9
48%
50.0–50.9
48%
51.0–51.9
32%
52.0–52.9
49%
53.0–53.9
42%
54.0–54.9
47%
55.0以上
94%
55.0以上 94%
52.0–52.9 49%
49.0–49.9 48%
50.0–50.9 48%
<47.0
23%
47.0–47.9
37%
48.0–48.9
47%
49.0–49.9
48%
50.0–50.9
48%
51.0–51.9
32%
52.0–52.9
49%
53.0–53.9
42%
54.0–54.9
47%
55.0以上
94%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间: May 28, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April ISM Services PMI data at 53.6, down 0.4 points from March amid a sharp drop in new orders to 53.5 and second straight month of employment contraction, has left trader expectations for the May reading evenly balanced across the 50–55 range. Geopolitical tensions from the Middle East conflict continue to elevate input prices to multi-year highs while dampening order volumes, even as business activity holds above 55 and the broader services sector sustains moderate expansion consistent with Q1 GDP growth near 1.6–2.0%. This mix of softening demand indicators against resilient activity keeps multiple outcome bins within 1–2 percentage points of each other on Polymarket, reflecting uncertainty ahead of the June 3 release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题