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世界·圣诞节

圣诞老人将在2025年送出多少份礼物？

Market icon
世界·圣诞节

圣诞老人将在2025年送出多少份礼物？

分组项标题：8.2 - 8.3十亿 100.0%

分组项标题： <7.9B <1%

7.9 - 8十亿 <1%

8 - 8.1十亿 <1%

Polymarket

$3,054,675 交易量

分组项标题：8.2 - 8.3十亿 100.0%

分组项标题： <7.9B <1%

7.9 - 8十亿 <1%

8 - 8.1十亿 <1%

Polymarket

$3,054,675 交易量

分组项标题： <7.9B

$358,633 交易量

否

7.9 - 8十亿

$342,487 交易量

否

8 - 8.1十亿

$384,343 交易量

否

分组项标题：8.1 - 8.2B

$416,635 交易量

否

分组项标题：8.2 - 8.3十亿

$716,003 交易量

是

8.3 - 8.4十亿

$425,049 交易量

否

>84亿

$411,526 交易量

否

This market will resolve to the total number of gifts delivered by Santa for Christmas 2025 as reported by the NORAD Santa Tracker website. If the reported total number of gifts delivered falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as data is finalized for 2025. If data is not available by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the NORAD Tracks Santa website, https://www.noradsanta.org/en/.

This market will resolve to the total number of gifts delivered by Santa for Christmas 2025 as reported by the NORAD Santa Tracker website.

If the reported total number of gifts delivered falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as data is finalized for 2025.

If data is not available by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the NORAD Tracks Santa website, https://www.noradsanta.org/en/.
交易量
$3,054,675
结束日期
Dec 25, 2025
市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 2:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

This market will resolve to the total number of gifts delivered by Santa for Christmas 2025 as reported by the NORAD Santa Tracker website. If the reported total number of gifts delivered falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as data is finalized for 2025. If data is not available by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the NORAD Tracks Santa website, https://www.noradsanta.org/en/.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"圣诞老人将在2025年送出多少份礼物？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"分组项标题：8.2 - 8.3十亿"，概率为 100%，其次是"分组项标题： <7.9B"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"圣诞老人将在2025年送出多少份礼物？"已产生 $3.1 million 的总交易量（自Dec 12, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"圣诞老人将在2025年送出多少份礼物？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"圣诞老人将在2025年送出多少份礼物？"的当前领先者是"分组项标题：8.2 - 8.3十亿"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"分组项标题： <7.9B"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"圣诞老人将在2025年送出多少份礼物？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。