Market icon

How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday?

Market icon

How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday?

20-25k 100.0%

<15k <1%

15-20k <1%

25-30k <1%

Polymarket

$347,366 交易量

20-25k 100.0%

<15k <1%

15-20k <1%

25-30k <1%

Polymarket

$347,366 交易量

<15k

$10,200 交易量

No

15-20k

$130,627 交易量

No

20-25k

$53,527 交易量

Yes

25-30k

$52,275 交易量

No

30-35k

$31,688 交易量

No

35-40k

$19,084 交易量

No

40k+

$49,965 交易量

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns less than 15,000 acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
交易量
$347,366
结束日期
Jan 10, 2025
市场开放时间
Jan 8, 2025, 3:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns less than 15,000 acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-25k" at 100%, followed by "<15k" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday?" has generated $347.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday?" is "20-25k" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<15k" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.