Polymarket's trader sentiment hinges on explosive trading volume growth, hitting $10.57 billion in March 2026—over 8x last year's comparable period—driven by geopolitical bets on U.S.-Iran tensions and new categories like housing markets, solidifying its lead over Kalshi in weekly notional volume. However, the March 30 rollout of taker fees has fueled concerns of retail trader exodus, with platform mindshare slipping to 55% in prediction market narratives per Kaito AI tracking amid Kalshi's social momentum gains. Recent launches, including a predictive toolkit for journalists, bolster utility, while unconfirmed $POLY token airdrop speculation and a planned U.S. regulated relaunch could spike attention by June 30, though competitive pressures and fee backlash pose downside risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?
最新
$11,117 交易量
2026-06-30
90%
14%
85%
22%
80%
68%
75%
92%
70%
98%
$11,117 交易量
90%
$458 交易量
14%
85%
$753 交易量
22%
80%
$2,620 交易量
68%
75%
$1,536 交易量
92%
70%
$5,750 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets) at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released.
The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket's trader sentiment hinges on explosive trading volume growth, hitting $10.57 billion in March 2026—over 8x last year's comparable period—driven by geopolitical bets on U.S.-Iran tensions and new categories like housing markets, solidifying its lead over Kalshi in weekly notional volume. However, the March 30 rollout of taker fees has fueled concerns of retail trader exodus, with platform mindshare slipping to 55% in prediction market narratives per Kaito AI tracking amid Kalshi's social momentum gains. Recent launches, including a predictive toolkit for journalists, bolster utility, while unconfirmed $POLY token airdrop speculation and a planned U.S. regulated relaunch could spike attention by June 30, though competitive pressures and fee backlash pose downside risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets) at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released.
The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released.
The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
交易量
$11,117结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 3:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets) at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released.
The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket's trader sentiment hinges on explosive trading volume growth, hitting $10.57 billion in March 2026—over 8x last year's comparable period—driven by geopolitical bets on U.S.-Iran tensions and new categories like housing markets, solidifying its lead over Kalshi in weekly notional volume. However, the March 30 rollout of taker fees has fueled concerns of retail trader exodus, with platform mindshare slipping to 55% in prediction market narratives per Kaito AI tracking amid Kalshi's social momentum gains. Recent launches, including a predictive toolkit for journalists, bolster utility, while unconfirmed $POLY token airdrop speculation and a planned U.S. regulated relaunch could spike attention by June 30, though competitive pressures and fee backlash pose downside risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets) at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released.
The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released.
The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$11,117结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 3:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket's trader sentiment hinges on explosive trading volume growth, hitting $10.57 billion in March 2026—over 8x last year's comparable period—driven by geopolitical bets on U.S.-Iran tensions and new categories like housing markets, solidifying its lead over Kalshi in weekly notional volume. However, the March 30 rollout of taker fees has fueled concerns of retail trader exodus, with platform mindshare slipping to 55% in prediction market narratives per Kaito AI tracking amid Kalshi's social momentum gains. Recent launches, including a predictive toolkit for journalists, bolster utility, while unconfirmed $POLY token airdrop speculation and a planned U.S. regulated relaunch could spike attention by June 30, though competitive pressures and fee backlash pose downside risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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