Florida's 27th congressional district carries an R+6 partisan voting index and has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles, including incumbent Maria Elvira Salazar's 60 percent margin in 2024. Nonpartisan race raters classify the seat as Likely Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district's underlying voter base and limited Democratic performance in early 2026 polling. An August 18 primary featuring Salazar against Republican challengers and a crowded Democratic field, including frontrunner Eliott Rodriguez, has not yet produced polling or fundraising shifts that would narrow the gap. Trader consensus therefore assigns Republicans the higher implied probability based on these structural factors, historical turnout patterns, and the absence of major district-specific developments in the past month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,064 交易量
$13,064 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
67%
民主党
31%
$13,064 交易量
$13,064 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,558 交易量
67%
民主党
$7,506 交易量
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 27th congressional district carries an R+6 partisan voting index and has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles, including incumbent Maria Elvira Salazar's 60 percent margin in 2024. Nonpartisan race raters classify the seat as Likely Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district's underlying voter base and limited Democratic performance in early 2026 polling. An August 18 primary featuring Salazar against Republican challengers and a crowded Democratic field, including frontrunner Eliott Rodriguez, has not yet produced polling or fundraising shifts that would narrow the gap. Trader consensus therefore assigns Republicans the higher implied probability based on these structural factors, historical turnout patterns, and the absence of major district-specific developments in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$13,064结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 27th congressional district carries an R+6 partisan voting index and has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles, including incumbent Maria Elvira Salazar's 60 percent margin in 2024. Nonpartisan race raters classify the seat as Likely Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district's underlying voter base and limited Democratic performance in early 2026 polling. An August 18 primary featuring Salazar against Republican challengers and a crowded Democratic field, including frontrunner Eliott Rodriguez, has not yet produced polling or fundraising shifts that would narrow the gap. Trader consensus therefore assigns Republicans the higher implied probability based on these structural factors, historical turnout patterns, and the absence of major district-specific developments in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,064结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 27th congressional district carries an R+6 partisan voting index and has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles, including incumbent Maria Elvira Salazar's 60 percent margin in 2024. Nonpartisan race raters classify the seat as Likely Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district's underlying voter base and limited Democratic performance in early 2026 polling. An August 18 primary featuring Salazar against Republican challengers and a crowded Democratic field, including frontrunner Eliott Rodriguez, has not yet produced polling or fundraising shifts that would narrow the gap. Trader consensus therefore assigns Republicans the higher implied probability based on these structural factors, historical turnout patterns, and the absence of major district-specific developments in the past month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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