Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 60% to hold Florida's 27th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's 47-40% lead over Democrat Robin Peguero in a March 12 Blueprint poll of 451 likely voters. The poll, conducted amid former CBS Miami anchor Eliott Rodriguez's March 10 entry into the Democratic primary field, underscores Salazar's incumbency edge in the 74% Hispanic district, where Republicans have gained ground since her 2020 upset over Donna Shalala. Recent Democratic primary polling shows Rodriguez leading his party's field at 43%, but general election matchups remain competitive. No new polls have emerged since mid-March, with the August 18 primary and November 3 general election as key upcoming milestones.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
61%
民主党
40%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$1,429 交易量
61%
民主党
$2,055 交易量
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 60% to hold Florida's 27th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's 47-40% lead over Democrat Robin Peguero in a March 12 Blueprint poll of 451 likely voters. The poll, conducted amid former CBS Miami anchor Eliott Rodriguez's March 10 entry into the Democratic primary field, underscores Salazar's incumbency edge in the 74% Hispanic district, where Republicans have gained ground since her 2020 upset over Donna Shalala. Recent Democratic primary polling shows Rodriguez leading his party's field at 43%, but general election matchups remain competitive. No new polls have emerged since mid-March, with the August 18 primary and November 3 general election as key upcoming milestones.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$3,484结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 60% to hold Florida's 27th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's 47-40% lead over Democrat Robin Peguero in a March 12 Blueprint poll of 451 likely voters. The poll, conducted amid former CBS Miami anchor Eliott Rodriguez's March 10 entry into the Democratic primary field, underscores Salazar's incumbency edge in the 74% Hispanic district, where Republicans have gained ground since her 2020 upset over Donna Shalala. Recent Democratic primary polling shows Rodriguez leading his party's field at 43%, but general election matchups remain competitive. No new polls have emerged since mid-March, with the August 18 primary and November 3 general election as key upcoming milestones.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,484结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 60% to hold Florida's 27th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's 47-40% lead over Democrat Robin Peguero in a March 12 Blueprint poll of 451 likely voters. The poll, conducted amid former CBS Miami anchor Eliott Rodriguez's March 10 entry into the Democratic primary field, underscores Salazar's incumbency edge in the 74% Hispanic district, where Republicans have gained ground since her 2020 upset over Donna Shalala. Recent Democratic primary polling shows Rodriguez leading his party's field at 43%, but general election matchups remain competitive. No new polls have emerged since mid-March, with the August 18 primary and November 3 general election as key upcoming milestones.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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