Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds structural advantages in Florida’s 27th congressional district, an R+6 seat on the Cook Partisan Voting Index that nonpartisan forecasters rate Likely Republican. Strong fundraising, name recognition, and the district’s partisan lean underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 66.5 percent. A crowded Democratic primary on August 18, 2026, featuring multiple challengers has yet to produce a clear general-election threat, while early hypothetical polling showed some Democratic contenders competitive but not dominant. Upcoming primaries and any shifts in South Florida voter patterns remain the primary variables that could alter implied probabilities before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,064 交易量
$13,064 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
67%
民主党
31%
$13,064 交易量
$13,064 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,558 交易量
67%
民主党
$7,506 交易量
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds structural advantages in Florida’s 27th congressional district, an R+6 seat on the Cook Partisan Voting Index that nonpartisan forecasters rate Likely Republican. Strong fundraising, name recognition, and the district’s partisan lean underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 66.5 percent. A crowded Democratic primary on August 18, 2026, featuring multiple challengers has yet to produce a clear general-election threat, while early hypothetical polling showed some Democratic contenders competitive but not dominant. Upcoming primaries and any shifts in South Florida voter patterns remain the primary variables that could alter implied probabilities before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$13,064结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds structural advantages in Florida’s 27th congressional district, an R+6 seat on the Cook Partisan Voting Index that nonpartisan forecasters rate Likely Republican. Strong fundraising, name recognition, and the district’s partisan lean underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 66.5 percent. A crowded Democratic primary on August 18, 2026, featuring multiple challengers has yet to produce a clear general-election threat, while early hypothetical polling showed some Democratic contenders competitive but not dominant. Upcoming primaries and any shifts in South Florida voter patterns remain the primary variables that could alter implied probabilities before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,064结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar holds structural advantages in Florida’s 27th congressional district, an R+6 seat on the Cook Partisan Voting Index that nonpartisan forecasters rate Likely Republican. Strong fundraising, name recognition, and the district’s partisan lean underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 66.5 percent. A crowded Democratic primary on August 18, 2026, featuring multiple challengers has yet to produce a clear general-election threat, while early hypothetical polling showed some Democratic contenders competitive but not dominant. Upcoming primaries and any shifts in South Florida voter patterns remain the primary variables that could alter implied probabilities before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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