Incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's consistent polling leads over Democratic primary frontrunners underpin trader consensus pricing Republicans at 59% to win Florida's 27th Congressional District House seat. A Blueprint Polling survey of likely voters from March 6-8 showed Salazar ahead 47%-40% against Robin Peguero and 46%-43% versus Eliott Rodriguez, who announced his candidacy on March 10 amid low challenger name recognition. Salazar's $1.7 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Democratic fundraising in the crowded August 18 primary, reinforcing her edge in this R+6 PVI district where she won reelection by 21 points in 2024 and Trump carried by 15. The November 3 general remains competitive if Democrats consolidate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
59%
民主党
40%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$1,429 交易量
59%
民主党
$2,055 交易量
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's consistent polling leads over Democratic primary frontrunners underpin trader consensus pricing Republicans at 59% to win Florida's 27th Congressional District House seat. A Blueprint Polling survey of likely voters from March 6-8 showed Salazar ahead 47%-40% against Robin Peguero and 46%-43% versus Eliott Rodriguez, who announced his candidacy on March 10 amid low challenger name recognition. Salazar's $1.7 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Democratic fundraising in the crowded August 18 primary, reinforcing her edge in this R+6 PVI district where she won reelection by 21 points in 2024 and Trump carried by 15. The November 3 general remains competitive if Democrats consolidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$3,484结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's consistent polling leads over Democratic primary frontrunners underpin trader consensus pricing Republicans at 59% to win Florida's 27th Congressional District House seat. A Blueprint Polling survey of likely voters from March 6-8 showed Salazar ahead 47%-40% against Robin Peguero and 46%-43% versus Eliott Rodriguez, who announced his candidacy on March 10 amid low challenger name recognition. Salazar's $1.7 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Democratic fundraising in the crowded August 18 primary, reinforcing her edge in this R+6 PVI district where she won reelection by 21 points in 2024 and Trump carried by 15. The November 3 general remains competitive if Democrats consolidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,484结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's consistent polling leads over Democratic primary frontrunners underpin trader consensus pricing Republicans at 59% to win Florida's 27th Congressional District House seat. A Blueprint Polling survey of likely voters from March 6-8 showed Salazar ahead 47%-40% against Robin Peguero and 46%-43% versus Eliott Rodriguez, who announced his candidacy on March 10 amid low challenger name recognition. Salazar's $1.7 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Democratic fundraising in the crowded August 18 primary, reinforcing her edge in this R+6 PVI district where she won reelection by 21 points in 2024 and Trump carried by 15. The November 3 general remains competitive if Democrats consolidate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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