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FL-25众议院选举获胜者

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FL-25众议院选举获胜者

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

民主党

$1,135 交易量

62%

共和党

$0 交易量

37%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 56.5% in the FL-25 House race, reflecting incumbent Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz's strong fundraising—nearly $2 million cash on hand as of late 2025—and her 54.5% victory in 2024 amid a D+5 partisan lean from recent presidential results. The Broward County district's rightward trend in Republican-leaning Florida elevates the GOP to 37%, supported by primary challengers Michael Carbonara's $589,000 cash reserves and Claudia Villatoro, though no polls exist and ratings remain Solid Democratic across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days; upcoming filing deadline June 12 and August 18 primaries could influence dynamics.

Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 56.5% in the FL-25 House race, reflecting incumbent Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz's strong fundraising—nearly $2 million cash on hand as of late 2025—and her 54.5% victory in 2024 amid a D+5 partisan lean from recent presidential results. The Broward County district's rightward trend in Republican-leaning Florida elevates the GOP to 37%, supported by primary challengers Michael Carbonara's $589,000 cash reserves and Claudia Villatoro, though no polls exist and ratings remain Solid Democratic across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days; upcoming filing deadline June 12 and August 18 primaries could influence dynamics.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 56.5% in the FL-25 House race, reflecting incumbent Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz's strong fundraising—nearly $2 million cash on hand as of late 2025—and her 54.5% victory in 2024 amid a D+5 partisan lean from recent presidential results. The Broward County district's rightward trend in Republican-leaning Florida elevates the GOP to 37%, supported by primary challengers Michael Carbonara's $589,000 cash reserves and Claudia Villatoro, though no polls exist and ratings remain Solid Democratic across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days; upcoming filing deadline June 12 and August 18 primaries could influence dynamics.

Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 56.5% in the FL-25 House race, reflecting incumbent Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz's strong fundraising—nearly $2 million cash on hand as of late 2025—and her 54.5% victory in 2024 amid a D+5 partisan lean from recent presidential results. The Broward County district's rightward trend in Republican-leaning Florida elevates the GOP to 37%, supported by primary challengers Michael Carbonara's $589,000 cash reserves and Claudia Villatoro, though no polls exist and ratings remain Solid Democratic across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days; upcoming filing deadline June 12 and August 18 primaries could influence dynamics.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"FL-25众议院选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"民主党",概率为 62%,其次是"共和党",概率为 37%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 62¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 62%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"FL-25众议院选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jan 28, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"FL-25众议院选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"FL-25众议院选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"民主党",概率为 62%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 62%。紧随其后的结果是"共和党",概率为 37%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"FL-25众议院选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。