Incumbent Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz's long tenure and fundraising superiority—$1.97 million cash on hand versus GOP challenger Michael Carbonara's $589,000 as of late 2025—bolster trader consensus favoring Democrats at 62% in Florida's 25th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic (D+5 partisan voting index) by Cook Political Report and others. The Broward County seat has trended rightward, yet lacks district-specific polls, with odds reflecting incumbency advantages ahead of August 18 primaries. Carbonara's $1.7 million haul via cryptocurrency and late February local commissioner endorsements have lifted Republican probabilities to 36.5%, amid statewide GOP leads in early March gubernatorial and Senate surveys, though no major shifts occurred in the past week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
62%
共和党
37%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$1,139 交易量
62%
共和党
$0 交易量
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz's long tenure and fundraising superiority—$1.97 million cash on hand versus GOP challenger Michael Carbonara's $589,000 as of late 2025—bolster trader consensus favoring Democrats at 62% in Florida's 25th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic (D+5 partisan voting index) by Cook Political Report and others. The Broward County seat has trended rightward, yet lacks district-specific polls, with odds reflecting incumbency advantages ahead of August 18 primaries. Carbonara's $1.7 million haul via cryptocurrency and late February local commissioner endorsements have lifted Republican probabilities to 36.5%, amid statewide GOP leads in early March gubernatorial and Senate surveys, though no major shifts occurred in the past week.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$1,139结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz's long tenure and fundraising superiority—$1.97 million cash on hand versus GOP challenger Michael Carbonara's $589,000 as of late 2025—bolster trader consensus favoring Democrats at 62% in Florida's 25th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic (D+5 partisan voting index) by Cook Political Report and others. The Broward County seat has trended rightward, yet lacks district-specific polls, with odds reflecting incumbency advantages ahead of August 18 primaries. Carbonara's $1.7 million haul via cryptocurrency and late February local commissioner endorsements have lifted Republican probabilities to 36.5%, amid statewide GOP leads in early March gubernatorial and Senate surveys, though no major shifts occurred in the past week.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,139结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz's long tenure and fundraising superiority—$1.97 million cash on hand versus GOP challenger Michael Carbonara's $589,000 as of late 2025—bolster trader consensus favoring Democrats at 62% in Florida's 25th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic (D+5 partisan voting index) by Cook Political Report and others. The Broward County seat has trended rightward, yet lacks district-specific polls, with odds reflecting incumbency advantages ahead of August 18 primaries. Carbonara's $1.7 million haul via cryptocurrency and late February local commissioner endorsements have lifted Republican probabilities to 36.5%, amid statewide GOP leads in early March gubernatorial and Senate surveys, though no major shifts occurred in the past week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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