Florida's 24th congressional district remains structurally Democratic due to its majority-Black voter base in northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward counties, consistent with historical results where Democrats have captured 68% or more of the general election vote. Incumbent Frederica Wilson’s decision not to seek reelection has opened the seat, drawing multiple Democratic primary candidates including Rudolph Moise, while Republican Patricia Gonzalez has filed for the August 18 primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent Florida redistricting shifted other districts toward Republicans but preserved FL-24’s partisan composition. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these fundamentals, though a late primary surprise producing a weak general-election candidate or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,739 交易量
$19,739 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$19,739 交易量
$19,739 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$8,452 交易量
95%
共和党
$11,287 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district remains structurally Democratic due to its majority-Black voter base in northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward counties, consistent with historical results where Democrats have captured 68% or more of the general election vote. Incumbent Frederica Wilson’s decision not to seek reelection has opened the seat, drawing multiple Democratic primary candidates including Rudolph Moise, while Republican Patricia Gonzalez has filed for the August 18 primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent Florida redistricting shifted other districts toward Republicans but preserved FL-24’s partisan composition. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these fundamentals, though a late primary surprise producing a weak general-election candidate or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$19,739结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district remains structurally Democratic due to its majority-Black voter base in northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward counties, consistent with historical results where Democrats have captured 68% or more of the general election vote. Incumbent Frederica Wilson’s decision not to seek reelection has opened the seat, drawing multiple Democratic primary candidates including Rudolph Moise, while Republican Patricia Gonzalez has filed for the August 18 primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent Florida redistricting shifted other districts toward Republicans but preserved FL-24’s partisan composition. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these fundamentals, though a late primary surprise producing a weak general-election candidate or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,739结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 24th congressional district remains structurally Democratic due to its majority-Black voter base in northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward counties, consistent with historical results where Democrats have captured 68% or more of the general election vote. Incumbent Frederica Wilson’s decision not to seek reelection has opened the seat, drawing multiple Democratic primary candidates including Rudolph Moise, while Republican Patricia Gonzalez has filed for the August 18 primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent Florida redistricting shifted other districts toward Republicans but preserved FL-24’s partisan composition. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these fundamentals, though a late primary surprise producing a weak general-election candidate or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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