Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability for Florida's 24th Congressional District House seat, driven by longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson's unopposed path through the August 18 Democratic primary in this solidly blue district (Cook PVI D+18). Wilson dominated the 2024 general election with 68% against underfunded Republican Jesus Navarro and holds $407,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing GOP primary contenders Patricia Gonzalez and Imtiaz Mohammad's negligible fundraising. Consistent safe Democratic ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report underscore minimal competition ahead of the November 3 general election. Upsets remain possible via a high-profile Republican recruit post-primary, scandal, health event, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$0 交易量
94%
共和党
$6,992 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability for Florida's 24th Congressional District House seat, driven by longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson's unopposed path through the August 18 Democratic primary in this solidly blue district (Cook PVI D+18). Wilson dominated the 2024 general election with 68% against underfunded Republican Jesus Navarro and holds $407,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing GOP primary contenders Patricia Gonzalez and Imtiaz Mohammad's negligible fundraising. Consistent safe Democratic ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report underscore minimal competition ahead of the November 3 general election. Upsets remain possible via a high-profile Republican recruit post-primary, scandal, health event, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$6,992结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability for Florida's 24th Congressional District House seat, driven by longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson's unopposed path through the August 18 Democratic primary in this solidly blue district (Cook PVI D+18). Wilson dominated the 2024 general election with 68% against underfunded Republican Jesus Navarro and holds $407,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing GOP primary contenders Patricia Gonzalez and Imtiaz Mohammad's negligible fundraising. Consistent safe Democratic ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report underscore minimal competition ahead of the November 3 general election. Upsets remain possible via a high-profile Republican recruit post-primary, scandal, health event, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,992结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability for Florida's 24th Congressional District House seat, driven by longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson's unopposed path through the August 18 Democratic primary in this solidly blue district (Cook PVI D+18). Wilson dominated the 2024 general election with 68% against underfunded Republican Jesus Navarro and holds $407,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing GOP primary contenders Patricia Gonzalez and Imtiaz Mohammad's negligible fundraising. Consistent safe Democratic ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report underscore minimal competition ahead of the November 3 general election. Upsets remain possible via a high-profile Republican recruit post-primary, scandal, health event, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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