Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent general election results favoring Democratic candidates. The recent retirement announcement by long-serving incumbent Frederica Wilson has opened the seat for an August 18 primary featuring multiple Democratic contenders, yet no comparable Republican challengers have emerged to alter the race's trajectory. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory in the November 3 general election due to the district's voter composition and historical margins, with limited near-term developments capable of shifting that consensus. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unusually competitive Republican primary outcome or unexpected turnout shifts, though structural factors continue to favor the leading party.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,745 交易量
$17,745 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
$17,745 交易量
$17,745 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$7,268 交易量
94%
共和党
$10,477 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent general election results favoring Democratic candidates. The recent retirement announcement by long-serving incumbent Frederica Wilson has opened the seat for an August 18 primary featuring multiple Democratic contenders, yet no comparable Republican challengers have emerged to alter the race's trajectory. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory in the November 3 general election due to the district's voter composition and historical margins, with limited near-term developments capable of shifting that consensus. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unusually competitive Republican primary outcome or unexpected turnout shifts, though structural factors continue to favor the leading party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$17,745结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent general election results favoring Democratic candidates. The recent retirement announcement by long-serving incumbent Frederica Wilson has opened the seat for an August 18 primary featuring multiple Democratic contenders, yet no comparable Republican challengers have emerged to alter the race's trajectory. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory in the November 3 general election due to the district's voter composition and historical margins, with limited near-term developments capable of shifting that consensus. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unusually competitive Republican primary outcome or unexpected turnout shifts, though structural factors continue to favor the leading party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,745结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent general election results favoring Democratic candidates. The recent retirement announcement by long-serving incumbent Frederica Wilson has opened the seat for an August 18 primary featuring multiple Democratic contenders, yet no comparable Republican challengers have emerged to alter the race's trajectory. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory in the November 3 general election due to the district's voter composition and historical margins, with limited near-term developments capable of shifting that consensus. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unusually competitive Republican primary outcome or unexpected turnout shifts, though structural factors continue to favor the leading party.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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