Democratic incumbent Rep. Frederica S. Wilson commands 93.5% trader consensus to win reelection in Florida's 24th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat in Miami-Dade and Broward counties with a partisan lean exceeding D+20, per nonpartisan ratings like Cook Political Report. Wilson's victories since 2012, including a comfortable 2024 margin, reflect strong support from diverse voting blocs including Black and Hispanic communities, reinforced by incumbency advantages and superior fundraising. No credible Republican challenger has emerged ahead of the August 18 primaries, aligning odds with historical base rates where safe-seat incumbents prevail over 90% of the time. Upsets remain possible via a star GOP recruit, scandal, legal challenge, or Republican midterm wave shifting turnout dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$0 交易量
94%
共和党
$6,992 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Rep. Frederica S. Wilson commands 93.5% trader consensus to win reelection in Florida's 24th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat in Miami-Dade and Broward counties with a partisan lean exceeding D+20, per nonpartisan ratings like Cook Political Report. Wilson's victories since 2012, including a comfortable 2024 margin, reflect strong support from diverse voting blocs including Black and Hispanic communities, reinforced by incumbency advantages and superior fundraising. No credible Republican challenger has emerged ahead of the August 18 primaries, aligning odds with historical base rates where safe-seat incumbents prevail over 90% of the time. Upsets remain possible via a star GOP recruit, scandal, legal challenge, or Republican midterm wave shifting turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$6,992结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Rep. Frederica S. Wilson commands 93.5% trader consensus to win reelection in Florida's 24th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat in Miami-Dade and Broward counties with a partisan lean exceeding D+20, per nonpartisan ratings like Cook Political Report. Wilson's victories since 2012, including a comfortable 2024 margin, reflect strong support from diverse voting blocs including Black and Hispanic communities, reinforced by incumbency advantages and superior fundraising. No credible Republican challenger has emerged ahead of the August 18 primaries, aligning odds with historical base rates where safe-seat incumbents prevail over 90% of the time. Upsets remain possible via a star GOP recruit, scandal, legal challenge, or Republican midterm wave shifting turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,992结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Rep. Frederica S. Wilson commands 93.5% trader consensus to win reelection in Florida's 24th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat in Miami-Dade and Broward counties with a partisan lean exceeding D+20, per nonpartisan ratings like Cook Political Report. Wilson's victories since 2012, including a comfortable 2024 margin, reflect strong support from diverse voting blocs including Black and Hispanic communities, reinforced by incumbency advantages and superior fundraising. No credible Republican challenger has emerged ahead of the August 18 primaries, aligning odds with historical base rates where safe-seat incumbents prevail over 90% of the time. Upsets remain possible via a star GOP recruit, scandal, legal challenge, or Republican midterm wave shifting turnout dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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