The redrawn boundaries from Florida's 2026 congressional map, signed into law in early May after legislative passage, have shaped trader positioning in this open-seat contest by retaining Democratic strength in Broward County portions while shifting the overall district toward greater Republican competitiveness. With primaries set for August 18, Democratic candidates including Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle face a Republican field led by figures such as Scott Singer and Dan Franzese. No major developments in the past month have altered the balance, leaving the slight Democratic edge aligned with the district's established voting patterns and the absence of an incumbent. Resolution occurs based on the November 3 general election outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,308 交易量
$14,308 交易量
民主党
52%
共和党
41%
$14,308 交易量
$14,308 交易量
民主党
52%
共和党
41%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The redrawn boundaries from Florida's 2026 congressional map, signed into law in early May after legislative passage, have shaped trader positioning in this open-seat contest by retaining Democratic strength in Broward County portions while shifting the overall district toward greater Republican competitiveness. With primaries set for August 18, Democratic candidates including Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle face a Republican field led by figures such as Scott Singer and Dan Franzese. No major developments in the past month have altered the balance, leaving the slight Democratic edge aligned with the district's established voting patterns and the absence of an incumbent. Resolution occurs based on the November 3 general election outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题