Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel's dominant fundraising—over $1.4 million raised and $1.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025—bolsters trader consensus pricing Democratic victory at 57% in the FL-22 House race, reflecting the district's D+4 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Recent Democratic primary challengers, including progressive Victoria Doyle who launched her bid in January 2026, have raised far less, posing minimal threat ahead of the June filing deadline and August 18 primary. Republicans field several candidates like Deborah Adeimy and Dan Franzese with modest funds, keeping their odds at 36% amid historical incumbency advantages and Frankel's prior 10-point win, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in this Palm Beach-Broward battleground.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
39%
民主党
53%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$410 交易量
39%
民主党
$0 交易量
53%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel's dominant fundraising—over $1.4 million raised and $1.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025—bolsters trader consensus pricing Democratic victory at 57% in the FL-22 House race, reflecting the district's D+4 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Recent Democratic primary challengers, including progressive Victoria Doyle who launched her bid in January 2026, have raised far less, posing minimal threat ahead of the June filing deadline and August 18 primary. Republicans field several candidates like Deborah Adeimy and Dan Franzese with modest funds, keeping their odds at 36% amid historical incumbency advantages and Frankel's prior 10-point win, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in this Palm Beach-Broward battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$410结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel's dominant fundraising—over $1.4 million raised and $1.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025—bolsters trader consensus pricing Democratic victory at 57% in the FL-22 House race, reflecting the district's D+4 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Recent Democratic primary challengers, including progressive Victoria Doyle who launched her bid in January 2026, have raised far less, posing minimal threat ahead of the June filing deadline and August 18 primary. Republicans field several candidates like Deborah Adeimy and Dan Franzese with modest funds, keeping their odds at 36% amid historical incumbency advantages and Frankel's prior 10-point win, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in this Palm Beach-Broward battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$410结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel's dominant fundraising—over $1.4 million raised and $1.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025—bolsters trader consensus pricing Democratic victory at 57% in the FL-22 House race, reflecting the district's D+4 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Recent Democratic primary challengers, including progressive Victoria Doyle who launched her bid in January 2026, have raised far less, posing minimal threat ahead of the June filing deadline and August 18 primary. Republicans field several candidates like Deborah Adeimy and Dan Franzese with modest funds, keeping their odds at 36% amid historical incumbency advantages and Frankel's prior 10-point win, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in this Palm Beach-Broward battleground.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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