Florida's 18th congressional district rates as a solid or safe Republican seat across major forecasters, with a partisan lean of roughly R+14 and an incumbent Republican representative seeking re-election in November 2026. Recent statewide redistricting, signed into law in early May, reinforced Republican advantages across most Florida districts and is projected to produce a 24-4 GOP majority in the state's House delegation. Primary elections scheduled for August 18 will determine nominees, but no competitive Democratic challengers or polling shifts have emerged to date. These structural factors, including historical voting patterns and limited opposition fundraising, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party while leaving modest room for unexpected developments before the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,066 交易量
$14,066 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
83%
民主党
15%
$14,066 交易量
$14,066 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$7,394 交易量
83%
民主党
$6,673 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 18th congressional district rates as a solid or safe Republican seat across major forecasters, with a partisan lean of roughly R+14 and an incumbent Republican representative seeking re-election in November 2026. Recent statewide redistricting, signed into law in early May, reinforced Republican advantages across most Florida districts and is projected to produce a 24-4 GOP majority in the state's House delegation. Primary elections scheduled for August 18 will determine nominees, but no competitive Democratic challengers or polling shifts have emerged to date. These structural factors, including historical voting patterns and limited opposition fundraising, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party while leaving modest room for unexpected developments before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$14,066结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 18th congressional district rates as a solid or safe Republican seat across major forecasters, with a partisan lean of roughly R+14 and an incumbent Republican representative seeking re-election in November 2026. Recent statewide redistricting, signed into law in early May, reinforced Republican advantages across most Florida districts and is projected to produce a 24-4 GOP majority in the state's House delegation. Primary elections scheduled for August 18 will determine nominees, but no competitive Democratic challengers or polling shifts have emerged to date. These structural factors, including historical voting patterns and limited opposition fundraising, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party while leaving modest room for unexpected developments before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,066结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 18th congressional district rates as a solid or safe Republican seat across major forecasters, with a partisan lean of roughly R+14 and an incumbent Republican representative seeking re-election in November 2026. Recent statewide redistricting, signed into law in early May, reinforced Republican advantages across most Florida districts and is projected to produce a 24-4 GOP majority in the state's House delegation. Primary elections scheduled for August 18 will determine nominees, but no competitive Democratic challengers or polling shifts have emerged to date. These structural factors, including historical voting patterns and limited opposition fundraising, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party while leaving modest room for unexpected developments before the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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