Incumbent Democrat Maxwell Frost faces a solidly Democratic district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and unanimous “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. This structural advantage, combined with Frost’s prior general-election performance above 62 percent, anchors trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 60 percent. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with minimal fundraising, and no major shifts in district lines or candidate fields have emerged since the 2024 cycle. With primaries set for August 18 and the general election on November 3, limited activity in the first half of 2026 has kept probabilities stable, though any late Republican recruit or national midterm wave could still alter positioning before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,839 交易量
$11,839 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
75%
共和党
8%
$11,839 交易量
$11,839 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$4,857 交易量
75%
共和党
$6,982 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maxwell Frost faces a solidly Democratic district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and unanimous “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. This structural advantage, combined with Frost’s prior general-election performance above 62 percent, anchors trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 60 percent. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with minimal fundraising, and no major shifts in district lines or candidate fields have emerged since the 2024 cycle. With primaries set for August 18 and the general election on November 3, limited activity in the first half of 2026 has kept probabilities stable, though any late Republican recruit or national midterm wave could still alter positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
交易量
$11,839结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maxwell Frost faces a solidly Democratic district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and unanimous “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. This structural advantage, combined with Frost’s prior general-election performance above 62 percent, anchors trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 60 percent. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with minimal fundraising, and no major shifts in district lines or candidate fields have emerged since the 2024 cycle. With primaries set for August 18 and the general election on November 3, limited activity in the first half of 2026 has kept probabilities stable, though any late Republican recruit or national midterm wave could still alter positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,839结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Maxwell Frost faces a solidly Democratic district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and unanimous “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. This structural advantage, combined with Frost’s prior general-election performance above 62 percent, anchors trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 60 percent. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with minimal fundraising, and no major shifts in district lines or candidate fields have emerged since the 2024 cycle. With primaries set for August 18 and the general election on November 3, limited activity in the first half of 2026 has kept probabilities stable, though any late Republican recruit or national midterm wave could still alter positioning before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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