Trader consensus on the Florida 10th congressional district House race heavily favors the Democratic Party at 90%, driven by incumbent Maxwell Frost's strong position after Republican nominee Scott James suspended his campaign on October 9, citing family health concerns and an inability to campaign effectively. With James off the ballot—replaced by a write-in effort—Frost faces minimal organized opposition in the Democratic-leaning Orlando-area district, home to diverse voters and universities. Recent polling showed Frost leading comfortably even before the withdrawal, shifting market odds sharply toward Democrats ahead of the November 5 election, reflecting traders' assessment of reduced Republican viability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于民主党
90%
共和党
11%
民主党
90%
共和党
11%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
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0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the Florida 10th congressional district House race heavily favors the Democratic Party at 90%, driven by incumbent Maxwell Frost's strong position after Republican nominee Scott James suspended his campaign on October 9, citing family health concerns and an inability to campaign effectively. With James off the ballot—replaced by a write-in effort—Frost faces minimal organized opposition in the Democratic-leaning Orlando-area district, home to diverse voters and universities. Recent polling showed Frost leading comfortably even before the withdrawal, shifting market odds sharply toward Democrats ahead of the November 5 election, reflecting traders' assessment of reduced Republican viability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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