Florida's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14, a structural advantage reflected in the Republican incumbent's 14-point margin in the 2025 special election. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. The Republican nominee enters with established fundraising and party infrastructure, while Democratic primary contenders have yet to consolidate behind a general-election challenger capable of narrowing historical margins. Traders assign the Republican Party a 92.5 percent implied probability, consistent with the district's voting patterns and limited signs of competitive pressure. A credible Democratic surge or sharp turnout shift could alter the outcome, though no such developments have materialized to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$913 交易量
93%
民主党
$1,478 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14, a structural advantage reflected in the Republican incumbent's 14-point margin in the 2025 special election. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. The Republican nominee enters with established fundraising and party infrastructure, while Democratic primary contenders have yet to consolidate behind a general-election challenger capable of narrowing historical margins. Traders assign the Republican Party a 92.5 percent implied probability, consistent with the district's voting patterns and limited signs of competitive pressure. A credible Democratic surge or sharp turnout shift could alter the outcome, though no such developments have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
交易量
$2,391结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14, a structural advantage reflected in the Republican incumbent's 14-point margin in the 2025 special election. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. The Republican nominee enters with established fundraising and party infrastructure, while Democratic primary contenders have yet to consolidate behind a general-election challenger capable of narrowing historical margins. Traders assign the Republican Party a 92.5 percent implied probability, consistent with the district's voting patterns and limited signs of competitive pressure. A credible Democratic surge or sharp turnout shift could alter the outcome, though no such developments have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,391结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14, a structural advantage reflected in the Republican incumbent's 14-point margin in the 2025 special election. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. The Republican nominee enters with established fundraising and party infrastructure, while Democratic primary contenders have yet to consolidate behind a general-election challenger capable of narrowing historical margins. Traders assign the Republican Party a 92.5 percent implied probability, consistent with the district's voting patterns and limited signs of competitive pressure. A credible Democratic surge or sharp turnout shift could alter the outcome, though no such developments have materialized to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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