Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, driven by its rural northern counties that outweigh more Democratic-leaning areas around Gainesville, providing incumbent Representative Kat Cammack with a durable structural edge heading into the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, consistent with Cammack's 61.6% victory in 2024 and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or redistricting that would alter the balance. Primaries remain scheduled for August 18 with limited reported activity or high-profile Democratic challengers emerging to date. Trader consensus reflected in the 75% Republican and 11.5% Democratic probabilities aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for safe incumbent-held districts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,786 交易量
$13,786 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
75%
民主党
12%
$13,786 交易量
$13,786 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,514 交易量
75%
民主党
$5,272 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, driven by its rural northern counties that outweigh more Democratic-leaning areas around Gainesville, providing incumbent Representative Kat Cammack with a durable structural edge heading into the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, consistent with Cammack's 61.6% victory in 2024 and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or redistricting that would alter the balance. Primaries remain scheduled for August 18 with limited reported activity or high-profile Democratic challengers emerging to date. Trader consensus reflected in the 75% Republican and 11.5% Democratic probabilities aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for safe incumbent-held districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$13,786结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, driven by its rural northern counties that outweigh more Democratic-leaning areas around Gainesville, providing incumbent Representative Kat Cammack with a durable structural edge heading into the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, consistent with Cammack's 61.6% victory in 2024 and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or redistricting that would alter the balance. Primaries remain scheduled for August 18 with limited reported activity or high-profile Democratic challengers emerging to date. Trader consensus reflected in the 75% Republican and 11.5% Democratic probabilities aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for safe incumbent-held districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,786结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, driven by its rural northern counties that outweigh more Democratic-leaning areas around Gainesville, providing incumbent Representative Kat Cammack with a durable structural edge heading into the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, consistent with Cammack's 61.6% victory in 2024 and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or redistricting that would alter the balance. Primaries remain scheduled for August 18 with limited reported activity or high-profile Democratic challengers emerging to date. Trader consensus reflected in the 75% Republican and 11.5% Democratic probabilities aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for safe incumbent-held districts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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