The open seat in Florida’s 2nd Congressional District, created by Republican Neal Dunn’s January 2026 retirement announcement, has drawn a crowded Republican primary ahead of the August 18 vote, with candidates emphasizing alignment with former President Trump and party networks. The district’s R+8 partisan voting index and consistent Republican general-election margins position the eventual GOP nominee as the strong favorite against a Democratic field that includes petition-qualified candidate Yen Bailey and several others. Recent May 2026 debate coverage and primary polling have underscored intra-party competition on loyalty and experience without shifting the broader expectation of Republican control in November. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting structural advantages that trader consensus currently prices into elevated probabilities for the Republican outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
65%
民主党
19%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,814 交易量
65%
民主党
$3,128 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Florida’s 2nd Congressional District, created by Republican Neal Dunn’s January 2026 retirement announcement, has drawn a crowded Republican primary ahead of the August 18 vote, with candidates emphasizing alignment with former President Trump and party networks. The district’s R+8 partisan voting index and consistent Republican general-election margins position the eventual GOP nominee as the strong favorite against a Democratic field that includes petition-qualified candidate Yen Bailey and several others. Recent May 2026 debate coverage and primary polling have underscored intra-party competition on loyalty and experience without shifting the broader expectation of Republican control in November. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting structural advantages that trader consensus currently prices into elevated probabilities for the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$8,941结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Florida’s 2nd Congressional District, created by Republican Neal Dunn’s January 2026 retirement announcement, has drawn a crowded Republican primary ahead of the August 18 vote, with candidates emphasizing alignment with former President Trump and party networks. The district’s R+8 partisan voting index and consistent Republican general-election margins position the eventual GOP nominee as the strong favorite against a Democratic field that includes petition-qualified candidate Yen Bailey and several others. Recent May 2026 debate coverage and primary polling have underscored intra-party competition on loyalty and experience without shifting the broader expectation of Republican control in November. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting structural advantages that trader consensus currently prices into elevated probabilities for the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,941结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Florida’s 2nd Congressional District, created by Republican Neal Dunn’s January 2026 retirement announcement, has drawn a crowded Republican primary ahead of the August 18 vote, with candidates emphasizing alignment with former President Trump and party networks. The district’s R+8 partisan voting index and consistent Republican general-election margins position the eventual GOP nominee as the strong favorite against a Democratic field that includes petition-qualified candidate Yen Bailey and several others. Recent May 2026 debate coverage and primary polling have underscored intra-party competition on loyalty and experience without shifting the broader expectation of Republican control in November. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting structural advantages that trader consensus currently prices into elevated probabilities for the Republican outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题