2026年底首次出任特朗普内阁？ （副本）
2026年底首次出任特朗普内阁？ （副本）
斯蒂芬·米兰 100.0%
J.D. 万斯 <1%
马尔科·鲁比奥 <1%
斯科特·贝森特 <1%
$73,073 交易量
$73,073 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
J.D. 万斯
否
马尔科·鲁比奥
否
斯科特·贝森特
否
彼特·赫格塞斯
否
潘·邦迪
否
Doug Burgum
否
布鲁克·罗林斯
否
霍华德·拉特尼克
否
洛丽·查韦斯-德雷默
否
罗伯特·F·肯尼迪 Jr.
否
斯科特·特纳
否
肖恩·达菲
否
克里斯·赖特
否
琳达·麦克马洪
否
Doug Collins
否
克里斯蒂·诺姆
否
李·泽尔丁
否
Susie Wiles
否
图尔西·加巴德
否
拉塞尔·T·沃特
否
约翰·拉特克利夫
否
贾米森·格里尔
否
迈克·沃尔兹
否
斯蒂芬·米兰
是
凯利·洛夫勒
否
斯蒂芬·米兰 100.0%
J.D. 万斯 <1%
马尔科·鲁比奥 <1%
斯科特·贝森特 <1%
$73,073 交易量
$73,073 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
J.D. 万斯
$1,953 交易量
否
马尔科·鲁比奥
$3,896 交易量
否
斯科特·贝森特
$3,724 交易量
否
彼特·赫格塞斯
$3,865 交易量
否
潘·邦迪
$4,551 交易量
否
Doug Burgum
$2,028 交易量
否
布鲁克·罗林斯
$2,726 交易量
否
霍华德·拉特尼克
$2,028 交易量
否
洛丽·查韦斯-德雷默
$2,766 交易量
否
罗伯特·F·肯尼迪 Jr.
$2,833 交易量
否
斯科特·特纳
$1,543 交易量
否
肖恩·达菲
$1,781 交易量
否
克里斯·赖特
$3,135 交易量
否
琳达·麦克马洪
$1,417 交易量
否
Doug Collins
$1,718 交易量
否
克里斯蒂·诺姆
$4,869 交易量
否
李·泽尔丁
$827 交易量
否
Susie Wiles
$3,097 交易量
否
图尔西·加巴德
$3,392 交易量
否
拉塞尔·T·沃特
$1,949 交易量
否
约翰·拉特克利夫
$1,918 交易量
否
贾米森·格里尔
$2,203 交易量
否
迈克·沃尔兹
$8,969 交易量
否
斯蒂芬·米兰
$3,506 交易量
是
凯利·洛夫勒
$2,235 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the next listed individual that it is announced will leave the Trump Cabinet, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration.
If none of the listed individuals leave between December 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name is alphabetically first.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
A listed individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the next listed individual that it is announced will leave the Trump Cabinet, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration.
If none of the listed individuals leave between December 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name is alphabetically first.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
A listed individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If none of the listed individuals leave between December 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name is alphabetically first.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
A listed individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 4:45 PM ET
交易量
$73,073结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
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