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2026年底首次出任特朗普内阁？ （副本）

潘·邦迪 38.0%

克里斯蒂·诺姆 36.9%

Susie Wiles 36.6%

图尔西·加巴德 36.5%

NEW

规则

This market will resolve according to the next listed individual that it is announced will leave the Trump Cabinet, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration.

If none of the listed individuals leave between December 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name is alphabetically first.

For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
A listed individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$8,707
结束日期
Dec 31, 2026
创建于
Dec 5, 2025, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the next listed individual that it is announced will leave the Trump Cabinet, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration. If none of the listed individuals leave between December 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name is alphabetically first. For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. A listed individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role. If a candidate assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

注意外部链接。

Market icon

2026年底首次出任特朗普内阁？ （副本）

潘·邦迪 38.0%

克里斯蒂·诺姆 36.9%

Susie Wiles 36.6%

图尔西·加巴德 36.5%

NEW

潘·邦迪

$136 交易量

38%

克里斯蒂·诺姆

$147 交易量

37%

Susie Wiles

$175 交易量

37%

图尔西·加巴德

$135 交易量

37%

迈克·沃尔兹

$5,177 交易量

26%

李·泽尔丁

$336 交易量

15%

彼特·赫格塞斯

$180 交易量

15%

J.D. 万斯

$99 交易量

6%

肖恩·达菲

$126 交易量

6%

拉塞尔·T·沃特

$126 交易量

6%

约翰·拉特克利夫

$126 交易量

5%

贾米森·格里尔

$126 交易量

5%

克里斯·赖特

$126 交易量

5%

Doug Burgum

$126 交易量

5%

斯科特·特纳

$99 交易量

5%

斯科特·贝森特

$126 交易量

5%

霍华德·拉特尼克

$126 交易量

4%

Doug Collins

$130 交易量

4%

凯利·洛夫勒

$126 交易量

3%

琳达·麦克马洪

$126 交易量

3%

罗伯特·F·肯尼迪 Jr.

$126 交易量

3%

洛丽·查韦斯-德雷默

$138 交易量

11%

布鲁克·罗林斯

$138 交易量

15%

马尔科·鲁比奥

$131 交易量

36%

斯蒂芬·米兰

$156 交易量

38%

关于

交易量
$8,707
结束日期
Dec 31, 2026
创建于
Dec 5, 2025, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

注意外部链接。