Market icon

First FTX bankruptcy payout?

Market icon

First FTX bankruptcy payout?

Q2 100.0%

2025 or later 100.0%

Q3 <1%

Q4 <1%

Polymarket

$2,038,146 交易量

Q2 100.0%

2025 or later 100.0%

Q3 <1%

Q4 <1%

Polymarket

$2,038,146 交易量

Market icon

Q1

$7,399 交易量

No

Market icon

Q2

$115,453 交易量

No

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Q3

$386,477 交易量

No

Market icon

Q4

$576,292 交易量

No

Market icon

2025 or later

$952,525 交易量

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q1 2024 (between January 1 and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q2 2024 (between April 1 and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If customer reimbursements begin before the start of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; mere announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q3 2024 (between July 1 and September 30, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If customer reimbursements begin before the start of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; mere announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q4 2024 (between October 1 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If customer reimbursements begin before the start of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; mere announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX fails to begin customer reimbursements in 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If customer reimbursements begin before the start of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; mere announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q1 2024 (between January 1 and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$2,038,146
结束日期
Dec 30, 2024
市场开放时间
Jan 31, 2024, 11:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q1 2024 (between January 1 and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q1 2024 (between January 1 and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q2 2024 (between April 1 and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If customer reimbursements begin before the start of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; mere announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q3 2024 (between July 1 and September 30, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If customer reimbursements begin before the start of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; mere announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q4 2024 (between October 1 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If customer reimbursements begin before the start of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; mere announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX fails to begin customer reimbursements in 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If customer reimbursements begin before the start of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; mere announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"First FTX bankruptcy payout?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2025 or later",概率为 100%,其次是"Q1",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"First FTX bankruptcy payout?"已产生 $2 million 的总交易量(自Jan 31, 2024市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"First FTX bankruptcy payout?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"First FTX bankruptcy payout?"的当前领先者是"2025 or later",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Q1",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"First FTX bankruptcy payout?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。