Trader consensus slightly favors Ukraine at 40.5% implied probability for the March 31 international friendly at Valencia's neutral Estadi de Valencia, reflecting their dominant head-to-head record—four wins in five recent meetings—and marginally superior squad depth amid both teams' World Cup playoff disappointments. Ukraine fell 1-3 to Sweden last week, while Albania lost 2-1 to Poland in their semi-final, exposing defensive frailties now compounded by key absences: defender Arlind Ajeti (shoulder injury), midfielder Ylber Ramadani (family reasons), and Ernest Muçi (recent withdrawal). Ukraine misses Artem Dovbyk (post-surgery) and Oleksandr Zinchenko (knee), but experimental lineups in this low-stakes matchup keep Albania (31%) and draw (29%) viable amid fatigue and untested rotations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

If Ukraine wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间: Mar 30, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Ukraine wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间: Mar 30, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors Ukraine at 40.5% implied probability for the March 31 international friendly at Valencia's neutral Estadi de Valencia, reflecting their dominant head-to-head record—four wins in five recent meetings—and marginally superior squad depth amid both teams' World Cup playoff disappointments. Ukraine fell 1-3 to Sweden last week, while Albania lost 2-1 to Poland in their semi-final, exposing defensive frailties now compounded by key absences: defender Arlind Ajeti (shoulder injury), midfielder Ylber Ramadani (family reasons), and Ernest Muçi (recent withdrawal). Ukraine misses Artem Dovbyk (post-surgery) and Oleksandr Zinchenko (knee), but experimental lineups in this low-stakes matchup keep Albania (31%) and draw (29%) viable amid fatigue and untested rotations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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