Trader sentiment in the Farrer by-election market favors Michelle Milthorpe at 23% implied probability, reflecting her endorsement as the Liberal Party candidate in this traditionally safe regional New South Wales electorate, bolstered by strong party infrastructure and historical base rates favoring incumbents. Rebecca Scriven trails at 4.7%, differentiating through her Nationals affiliation and appeal to rural farming interests amid agricultural policy debates, while Helen Dalton at 3.3% leverages independent status and local community ties. The fragmented field stems from recent preselection battles and independent surges post-2022 federal swings; consolidation could hinge on preference flows from minor parties, candidate debates ahead of the October polling day, or national Coalition unity signals shifting trader bets toward Milthorpe.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于米歇尔·米尔索普 23%
丽贝卡·斯克里文 4.3%
海伦·道尔顿 3.3%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
米歇尔·米尔索普
23%
丽贝卡·斯克里文
4%
海伦·道尔顿
3%
米歇尔·米尔索普 23%
丽贝卡·斯克里文 4.3%
海伦·道尔顿 3.3%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
米歇尔·米尔索普
$0 交易量
23%
丽贝卡·斯克里文
$0 交易量
4%
海伦·道尔顿
$0 交易量
3%
A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place sometime in 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place sometime in 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place sometime in 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place sometime in 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place sometime in 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
市场开放时间： Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place sometime in 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place sometime in 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place sometime in 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment in the Farrer by-election market favors Michelle Milthorpe at 23% implied probability, reflecting her endorsement as the Liberal Party candidate in this traditionally safe regional New South Wales electorate, bolstered by strong party infrastructure and historical base rates favoring incumbents. Rebecca Scriven trails at 4.7%, differentiating through her Nationals affiliation and appeal to rural farming interests amid agricultural policy debates, while Helen Dalton at 3.3% leverages independent status and local community ties. The fragmented field stems from recent preselection battles and independent surges post-2022 federal swings; consolidation could hinge on preference flows from minor parties, candidate debates ahead of the October polling day, or national Coalition unity signals shifting trader bets toward Milthorpe.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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