Name: Fact Check: Was the money planted on Luigi Mangione?
Start: 2024-12-11T16:01:27.150917Z
End: 2025-04-30T12:00:00Z

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When Luigi Mangione, the suspect in the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson, was detained by the police, ~$8,000 in cash was found on him. In a court appearance, Luigi claimed that money was planted.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that money was planted on Luigi Mangione by another individual or agency by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official statements from Mangione, his legal representation, and information released by law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Fact Check: Was the money planted on Luigi Mangione?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto

If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.




中本聪会在2026年转移任何比特币吗？

This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings.

For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

MicroStrategy会在2026年12月31日之前宣布持有80万枚以上比特币吗？

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if total commitments for the Bitway raise on Kaito exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is the official raise page available at https://kaito.ai/capital-launchpad/99cde47ae13b4374a523?projectName=Bitway

If the final commitment amount cannot be verified by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to “No.”

Over $500K committed to the Bitway public sale?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the number of Bitcoin Knots nodes exceeds the number of Bitcoin Core nodes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is https://coin.dance/nodes/all, specifically the “Bitcoin Nodes” chart set to “MTD.”
Resolution will be based on the node counts displayed when hovering over each date for Bitcoin Core Nodes and Bitcoin Knots Nodes.

A data point for a given day will be considered finalized once data for the following day is published.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe and before resolution criteria are met, the market will resolve based on a reliable alternative source or public data consistent with the official Bitcoin node counts.

Fact Check: Was the money planted on Luigi Mangione?

市场背景

Fact Check: Was the money planted on Luigi Mangione?

规则

Fact Check: Was the money planted on Luigi Mangione?

市场背景

Fact Check: Was the money planted on Luigi Mangione?

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