Mercedes holds a commanding 98-67 points lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship after dominant showings in the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix, where George Russell and Kimi Antonelli delivered a win each plus multiple podiums, driving trader consensus to a 75.5% implied probability of victory. Ferrari remains the primary threat at 16.5% with steady results from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, but the 31-point deficit highlights Mercedes' edge in power unit performance and race pace under new regulations. McLaren languishes third on 18 points amid inconsistent form, while Red Bull's midfield battles limit them to 2.1%, as early reliability and qualifying advantages solidify the frontrunners' positioning with over 20 races left for upgrades to influence outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于梅赛德斯 76%
法拉利 17%
分组项标题：迈凯伦 3.3%
红牛车队 2.1%
$7,386,718 交易量
$7,386,718 交易量
Dec 6, 2026
梅赛德斯
76%
法拉利
17%
分组项标题：迈凯伦
3%
红牛车队
2%
凯迪拉克
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
哈斯
1%
阿尔派
1%
威廉姆斯
<1%
阿斯顿马丁
<1%
Audi
<1%
梅赛德斯 76%
法拉利 17%
分组项标题：迈凯伦 3.3%
红牛车队 2.1%
$7,386,718 交易量
$7,386,718 交易量
Dec 6, 2026
梅赛德斯
$495,325 交易量
76%
法拉利
$243,554 交易量
17%
分组项标题：迈凯伦
$989,497 交易量
3%
红牛车队
$376,924 交易量
2%
凯迪拉克
$905,500 交易量
1%
Racing Bulls
$785,860 交易量
1%
哈斯
$926,885 交易量
1%
阿尔派
$885,263 交易量
1%
威廉姆斯
$795,190 交易量
<1%
阿斯顿马丁
$514,619 交易量
<1%
Audi
$468,168 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding 98-67 points lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship after dominant showings in the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix, where George Russell and Kimi Antonelli delivered a win each plus multiple podiums, driving trader consensus to a 75.5% implied probability of victory. Ferrari remains the primary threat at 16.5% with steady results from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, but the 31-point deficit highlights Mercedes' edge in power unit performance and race pace under new regulations. McLaren languishes third on 18 points amid inconsistent form, while Red Bull's midfield battles limit them to 2.1%, as early reliability and qualifying advantages solidify the frontrunners' positioning with over 20 races left for upgrades to influence outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
市场开放时间： Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
交易量
$7,386,718结束日期
Dec 6, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding 98-67 points lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship after dominant showings in the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix, where George Russell and Kimi Antonelli delivered a win each plus multiple podiums, driving trader consensus to a 75.5% implied probability of victory. Ferrari remains the primary threat at 16.5% with steady results from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, but the 31-point deficit highlights Mercedes' edge in power unit performance and race pace under new regulations. McLaren languishes third on 18 points amid inconsistent form, while Red Bull's midfield battles limit them to 2.1%, as early reliability and qualifying advantages solidify the frontrunners' positioning with over 20 races left for upgrades to influence outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
交易量
$7,386,718结束日期
Dec 6, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding 98-67 points lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship after dominant showings in the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix, where George Russell and Kimi Antonelli delivered a win each plus multiple podiums, driving trader consensus to a 75.5% implied probability of victory. Ferrari remains the primary threat at 16.5% with steady results from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, but the 31-point deficit highlights Mercedes' edge in power unit performance and race pace under new regulations. McLaren languishes third on 18 points amid inconsistent form, while Red Bull's midfield battles limit them to 2.1%, as early reliability and qualifying advantages solidify the frontrunners' positioning with over 20 races left for upgrades to influence outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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