Mercedes holds a commanding 78.5% implied probability as F1 Constructors' Champion frontrunner after securing 1-2 finishes in the season-opening Australian Grand Prix—led by George Russell from pole—and repeating the feat at the Chinese GP with Andrea Kimi Antonelli victorious, amassing 98 points to lead standings. Ferrari trails at 67 points (12.5% odds) thanks to consistent podiums from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, but lacks Mercedes' pace in the new 2026 active aero and power unit era where the Silver Arrows excel in race pace and energy management. McLaren (3.9%) shows flashes via Oscar Piastri but struggles with reliability, while Red Bull (1.5%) and others lag amid adaptation challenges to regs, reflecting trader consensus on Mercedes' early dominance with 22 races remaining.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于梅赛德斯 79%
法拉利 13%
分组项标题：迈凯伦 3.9%
红牛车队 1.5%
$7,700,974 交易量
$7,700,974 交易量
Dec 6, 2026
梅赛德斯
79%
法拉利
13%
分组项标题：迈凯伦
4%
红牛车队
2%
威廉姆斯
1%
凯迪拉克
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
哈斯
1%
阿尔派
1%
阿斯顿马丁
<1%
Audi
<1%
梅赛德斯 79%
法拉利 13%
分组项标题：迈凯伦 3.9%
红牛车队 1.5%
$7,700,974 交易量
$7,700,974 交易量
Dec 6, 2026
梅赛德斯
$498,963 交易量
79%
法拉利
$246,349 交易量
13%
分组项标题：迈凯伦
$992,432 交易量
4%
红牛车队
$381,185 交易量
2%
威廉姆斯
$859,237 交易量
1%
凯迪拉克
$907,162 交易量
1%
Racing Bulls
$820,027 交易量
1%
哈斯
$950,420 交易量
1%
阿尔派
$916,206 交易量
1%
阿斯顿马丁
$584,247 交易量
<1%
Audi
$544,833 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding 78.5% implied probability as F1 Constructors' Champion frontrunner after securing 1-2 finishes in the season-opening Australian Grand Prix—led by George Russell from pole—and repeating the feat at the Chinese GP with Andrea Kimi Antonelli victorious, amassing 98 points to lead standings. Ferrari trails at 67 points (12.5% odds) thanks to consistent podiums from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, but lacks Mercedes' pace in the new 2026 active aero and power unit era where the Silver Arrows excel in race pace and energy management. McLaren (3.9%) shows flashes via Oscar Piastri but struggles with reliability, while Red Bull (1.5%) and others lag amid adaptation challenges to regs, reflecting trader consensus on Mercedes' early dominance with 22 races remaining.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
市场开放时间： Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
交易量
$7,700,974结束日期
Dec 6, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding 78.5% implied probability as F1 Constructors' Champion frontrunner after securing 1-2 finishes in the season-opening Australian Grand Prix—led by George Russell from pole—and repeating the feat at the Chinese GP with Andrea Kimi Antonelli victorious, amassing 98 points to lead standings. Ferrari trails at 67 points (12.5% odds) thanks to consistent podiums from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, but lacks Mercedes' pace in the new 2026 active aero and power unit era where the Silver Arrows excel in race pace and energy management. McLaren (3.9%) shows flashes via Oscar Piastri but struggles with reliability, while Red Bull (1.5%) and others lag amid adaptation challenges to regs, reflecting trader consensus on Mercedes' early dominance with 22 races remaining.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
交易量
$7,700,974结束日期
Dec 6, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding 78.5% implied probability as F1 Constructors' Champion frontrunner after securing 1-2 finishes in the season-opening Australian Grand Prix—led by George Russell from pole—and repeating the feat at the Chinese GP with Andrea Kimi Antonelli victorious, amassing 98 points to lead standings. Ferrari trails at 67 points (12.5% odds) thanks to consistent podiums from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, but lacks Mercedes' pace in the new 2026 active aero and power unit era where the Silver Arrows excel in race pace and energy management. McLaren (3.9%) shows flashes via Oscar Piastri but struggles with reliability, while Red Bull (1.5%) and others lag amid adaptation challenges to regs, reflecting trader consensus on Mercedes' early dominance with 22 races remaining.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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