December 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.25-1.29 100.0%
<1.20 <1%
1.20-1.24 <1%
1.30-1.34 <1%
$2,545,902 交易量
$2,545,902 交易量
Dec 31, 2024
<1.20
$545,716 交易量
No
<1.20
$545,716 交易量
No
1.20-1.24
$500,998 交易量
No
1.20-1.24
$500,998 交易量
No
1.25-1.29
$458,426 交易量
Yes
1.25-1.29
$458,426 交易量
Yes
1.30-1.34
$618,869 交易量
No
1.30-1.34
$618,869 交易量
No
>1.34
$421,893 交易量
No
>1.34
$421,893 交易量
No
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.20°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of less than 1.20°C for December 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for December 2024 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for December 2024 is provided by NASA by April 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
An anomaly of less than 1.20°C for December 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for December 2024 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for December 2024 is provided by NASA by April 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
创建于： Dec 2, 2024, 6:13 PM ET
交易量
$2,545,902结束日期
Dec 31, 2024创建于
Dec 2, 2024, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
December 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.25-1.29 100.0%
<1.20 <1%
1.20-1.24 <1%
1.30-1.34 <1%
$2,545,902 交易量
$2,545,902 交易量
Dec 31, 2024
<1.20
$545,716 交易量
No
1.20-1.24
$500,998 交易量
No
1.25-1.29
$458,426 交易量
Yes
1.30-1.34
$618,869 交易量
No
>1.34
$421,893 交易量
No
关于
交易量
$2,545,902结束日期
Dec 31, 2024创建于
Dec 2, 2024, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...注意外部链接。
注意外部链接。
注意外部链接。
注意外部链接。