Connecticut's 1st congressional district functions as a reliably Democratic seat, with the party holding the position through multiple cycles on the strength of consistent voter support in Hartford and surrounding areas. Incumbent John Larson secured 63 percent in the 2024 general election, and the Republican primary field remains limited. An active Democratic primary contest featuring former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin, who secured the party endorsement in May 2026, underscores internal generational dynamics ahead of the August primary but does not alter the district's partisan composition heading into November. Trader consensus pricing reflects these structural factors, with limited realistic pathways for a Republican general-election victory absent extraordinary national shifts or unforeseen developments within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$781 交易量
93%
共和党
$1,224 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 1st congressional district functions as a reliably Democratic seat, with the party holding the position through multiple cycles on the strength of consistent voter support in Hartford and surrounding areas. Incumbent John Larson secured 63 percent in the 2024 general election, and the Republican primary field remains limited. An active Democratic primary contest featuring former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin, who secured the party endorsement in May 2026, underscores internal generational dynamics ahead of the August primary but does not alter the district's partisan composition heading into November. Trader consensus pricing reflects these structural factors, with limited realistic pathways for a Republican general-election victory absent extraordinary national shifts or unforeseen developments within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,005结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 1st congressional district functions as a reliably Democratic seat, with the party holding the position through multiple cycles on the strength of consistent voter support in Hartford and surrounding areas. Incumbent John Larson secured 63 percent in the 2024 general election, and the Republican primary field remains limited. An active Democratic primary contest featuring former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin, who secured the party endorsement in May 2026, underscores internal generational dynamics ahead of the August primary but does not alter the district's partisan composition heading into November. Trader consensus pricing reflects these structural factors, with limited realistic pathways for a Republican general-election victory absent extraordinary national shifts or unforeseen developments within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,005结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut's 1st congressional district functions as a reliably Democratic seat, with the party holding the position through multiple cycles on the strength of consistent voter support in Hartford and surrounding areas. Incumbent John Larson secured 63 percent in the 2024 general election, and the Republican primary field remains limited. An active Democratic primary contest featuring former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin, who secured the party endorsement in May 2026, underscores internal generational dynamics ahead of the August primary but does not alter the district's partisan composition heading into November. Trader consensus pricing reflects these structural factors, with limited realistic pathways for a Republican general-election victory absent extraordinary national shifts or unforeseen developments within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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