Traders assign a 71.5% implied probability to Claude Mythos reaching general availability on or prior to June 9 because Anthropic’s April 2026 limited preview on platforms including Amazon Bedrock and Google Vertex AI has already demonstrated the model’s frontier capabilities in cybersecurity and agentic coding, creating expectations that safety refinements could enable wider access imminently. The preview’s restricted rollout to select partners, driven by its ability to discover zero-day exploits, continues to shape consensus around a cautious but accelerating timeline. No major new announcements have emerged in the past month, leaving the market sensitive to any official statements on expanded safeguards or API access that could resolve the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Claude Mythos released on…?
Claude Mythos released on…?
On or prior to June 9 71%
June 10 17%
June 12 7.8%
Not released by June 30 3.3%
最新
$27,467 交易量
最新
$27,467 交易量
2026-06-30
On or prior to June 9
71%
June 10
17%
June 11
3%
June 12
8%
June 13
1%
June 14
<1%
June 15
<1%
June 16
<1%
June 17
1%
June 18
<1%
June 19
<1%
June 20
1%
June 21
<1%
June 22
1%
June 23
<1%
June 24
<1%
June 25
<1%
June 26
<1%
June 27
<1%
June 28
<1%
June 29
1%
June 30
<1%
Not released by June 30
3%
On or prior to June 9 71%
June 10 17%
June 12 7.8%
Not released by June 30 3.3%
最新
$27,467 交易量
最新
$27,467 交易量
2026-06-30
On or prior to June 9
$7,471 交易量
71%
June 10
$2,342 交易量
17%
June 11
$2,007 交易量
3%
June 12
$1,374 交易量
8%
June 13
$1,339 交易量
1%
June 14
$702 交易量
<1%
June 15
$1,231 交易量
<1%
June 16
$698 交易量
<1%
June 17
$519 交易量
1%
June 18
$650 交易量
<1%
June 19
$802 交易量
<1%
June 20
$621 交易量
1%
June 21
$741 交易量
<1%
June 22
$632 交易量
1%
June 23
$692 交易量
<1%
June 24
$567 交易量
<1%
June 25
$610 交易量
<1%
June 26
$889 交易量
<1%
June 27
$624 交易量
<1%
June 28
$1,523 交易量
<1%
June 29
$822 交易量
1%
June 30
$714 交易量
<1%
Not released by June 30
$1,510 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public.
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 71.5% implied probability to Claude Mythos reaching general availability on or prior to June 9 because Anthropic’s April 2026 limited preview on platforms including Amazon Bedrock and Google Vertex AI has already demonstrated the model’s frontier capabilities in cybersecurity and agentic coding, creating expectations that safety refinements could enable wider access imminently. The preview’s restricted rollout to select partners, driven by its ability to discover zero-day exploits, continues to shape consensus around a cautious but accelerating timeline. No major new announcements have emerged in the past month, leaving the market sensitive to any official statements on expanded safeguards or API access that could resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public.
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 8, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
交易量
$27,467结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 9:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public.
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 71.5% implied probability to Claude Mythos reaching general availability on or prior to June 9 because Anthropic’s April 2026 limited preview on platforms including Amazon Bedrock and Google Vertex AI has already demonstrated the model’s frontier capabilities in cybersecurity and agentic coding, creating expectations that safety refinements could enable wider access imminently. The preview’s restricted rollout to select partners, driven by its ability to discover zero-day exploits, continues to shape consensus around a cautious but accelerating timeline. No major new announcements have emerged in the past month, leaving the market sensitive to any official statements on expanded safeguards or API access that could resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public.
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$27,467结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 9:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 71.5% implied probability to Claude Mythos reaching general availability on or prior to June 9 because Anthropic’s April 2026 limited preview on platforms including Amazon Bedrock and Google Vertex AI has already demonstrated the model’s frontier capabilities in cybersecurity and agentic coding, creating expectations that safety refinements could enable wider access imminently. The preview’s restricted rollout to select partners, driven by its ability to discover zero-day exploits, continues to shape consensus around a cautious but accelerating timeline. No major new announcements have emerged in the past month, leaving the market sensitive to any official statements on expanded safeguards or API access that could resolve the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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