Recent developments in U.S.-Iran negotiations, including reports of a tentative 60-day ceasefire extension and potential easing of Strait of Hormuz shipping restrictions, have reduced the geopolitical risk premium and driven WTI crude futures to six-week lows near $87–88 per barrel as of late May. These factors position the >$84 settlement band as the leading outcome at 55% implied probability, reflecting sustained but moderating supply disruptions from prior Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day and Q2 inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels daily per EIA data. Lowered 2026 global demand growth forecasts from OPEC and the EIA, alongside elevated U.S. exports, cap further upside while supporting the 20.5% odds on the $77–$84 range. Weekly inventory reports and any final diplomatic progress remain key catalysts ahead of June resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于原油( CL )在6月份的结算时间是什么?
>84美元 55%
77美元-84美元 21%
70美元至77美元 12.3%
$63-$70 2.9%
$205,920 交易量
$205,920 交易量
低于42美元
<1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
3%
70美元至77美元
12%
77美元-84美元
21%
>84美元
55%
>84美元 55%
77美元-84美元 21%
70美元至77美元 12.3%
$63-$70 2.9%
$205,920 交易量
$205,920 交易量
低于42美元
<1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
3%
70美元至77美元
12%
77美元-84美元
21%
>84美元
55%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Recent developments in U.S.-Iran negotiations, including reports of a tentative 60-day ceasefire extension and potential easing of Strait of Hormuz shipping restrictions, have reduced the geopolitical risk premium and driven WTI crude futures to six-week lows near $87–88 per barrel as of late May. These factors position the >$84 settlement band as the leading outcome at 55% implied probability, reflecting sustained but moderating supply disruptions from prior Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day and Q2 inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels daily per EIA data. Lowered 2026 global demand growth forecasts from OPEC and the EIA, alongside elevated U.S. exports, cap further upside while supporting the 20.5% odds on the $77–$84 range. Weekly inventory reports and any final diplomatic progress remain key catalysts ahead of June resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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