Geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the resulting effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver behind the 54.5% market-implied probability that WTI crude oil (CL) settles above $84 in June 2026. Persistent supply disruptions have triggered substantial inventory draws, with the EIA projecting Brent prices near $106 per barrel through June amid production outages exceeding 10 million barrels per day in the Middle East. Recent tentative ceasefire extensions and Hormuz reopening signals have prompted a late-May pullback in front-month futures to the $87–$88 range, tempering upside beyond the 20% probability assigned to the $77–$84 band. Elevated risk premiums continue to support the higher settlement range despite gradual normalization expectations later in the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于原油（ CL ）在6月份的结算时间是什么？
原油（ CL ）在6月份的结算时间是什么？
>84美元 55%
77美元-84美元 20%
70美元至77美元 12.3%
$63-$70 3.0%
$206,161 交易量
$206,161 交易量
2026-06-30
低于42美元
<1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
3%
70美元至77美元
12%
77美元-84美元
20%
>84美元
55%
>84美元 55%
77美元-84美元 20%
70美元至77美元 12.3%
$63-$70 3.0%
$206,161 交易量
$206,161 交易量
2026-06-30
低于42美元
$21,291 交易量
<1%
$42-$49
$10,192 交易量
1%
$49-$56
$12,160 交易量
1%
$56-$63
$14,167 交易量
1%
$63-$70
$27,322 交易量
3%
70美元至77美元
$16,940 交易量
12%
77美元-84美元
$17,111 交易量
20%
>84美元
$86,979 交易量
55%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the resulting effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver behind the 54.5% market-implied probability that WTI crude oil (CL) settles above $84 in June 2026. Persistent supply disruptions have triggered substantial inventory draws, with the EIA projecting Brent prices near $106 per barrel through June amid production outages exceeding 10 million barrels per day in the Middle East. Recent tentative ceasefire extensions and Hormuz reopening signals have prompted a late-May pullback in front-month futures to the $87–$88 range, tempering upside beyond the 20% probability assigned to the $77–$84 band. Elevated risk premiums continue to support the higher settlement range despite gradual normalization expectations later in the year.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
交易量
$206,161结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the resulting effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver behind the 54.5% market-implied probability that WTI crude oil (CL) settles above $84 in June 2026. Persistent supply disruptions have triggered substantial inventory draws, with the EIA projecting Brent prices near $106 per barrel through June amid production outages exceeding 10 million barrels per day in the Middle East. Recent tentative ceasefire extensions and Hormuz reopening signals have prompted a late-May pullback in front-month futures to the $87–$88 range, tempering upside beyond the 20% probability assigned to the $77–$84 band. Elevated risk premiums continue to support the higher settlement range despite gradual normalization expectations later in the year.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$206,161结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETGeopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the resulting effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver behind the 54.5% market-implied probability that WTI crude oil (CL) settles above $84 in June 2026. Persistent supply disruptions have triggered substantial inventory draws, with the EIA projecting Brent prices near $106 per barrel through June amid production outages exceeding 10 million barrels per day in the Middle East. Recent tentative ceasefire extensions and Hormuz reopening signals have prompted a late-May pullback in front-month futures to the $87–$88 range, tempering upside beyond the 20% probability assigned to the $77–$84 band. Elevated risk premiums continue to support the higher settlement range despite gradual normalization expectations later in the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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