Patrick Mahomes holds a slim 50.5% implied probability as the Kansas City Chiefs' Week 1 starting QB in 2026, tempered by his ongoing rehab from a torn ACL suffered in Week 15 of 2025, with surgery in mid-December and a tight 9-12 month timeline to full readiness; recent updates confirm progress toward an unrestricted Week 1 return, but traders price in caution. The Chiefs bolstered depth by trading a 2027 sixth-round pick to the Jets for Justin Fields on March 18, positioning him at 26% as insurance, with Andy Reid noting Fields will receive early first-team reps in the offseason program to master the scheme. Departed backup Gardner Minshew (now 7.8%) and free-agent veteran Joe Flacco (7.1%) linger as contingency options amid roster uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于加德纳·明休 7.7%
乔·弗拉科 5.0%
克里斯·奥拉多昆 2.8%
贾斯汀·菲尔兹 2%
$12,169 交易量
$12,169 交易量
加德纳·明休
8%
乔·弗拉科
7%
克里斯·奥拉多昆
3%
贾斯汀·菲尔兹
26%
帕特里克·马霍姆斯
44%
加德纳·明休 7.7%
乔·弗拉科 5.0%
克里斯·奥拉多昆 2.8%
贾斯汀·菲尔兹 2%
$12,169 交易量
$12,169 交易量
加德纳·明休
8%
乔·弗拉科
7%
克里斯·奥拉多昆
3%
贾斯汀·菲尔兹
26%
帕特里克·马霍姆斯
44%
If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback.
This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 2:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback.
This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Patrick Mahomes holds a slim 50.5% implied probability as the Kansas City Chiefs' Week 1 starting QB in 2026, tempered by his ongoing rehab from a torn ACL suffered in Week 15 of 2025, with surgery in mid-December and a tight 9-12 month timeline to full readiness; recent updates confirm progress toward an unrestricted Week 1 return, but traders price in caution. The Chiefs bolstered depth by trading a 2027 sixth-round pick to the Jets for Justin Fields on March 18, positioning him at 26% as insurance, with Andy Reid noting Fields will receive early first-team reps in the offseason program to master the scheme. Departed backup Gardner Minshew (now 7.8%) and free-agent veteran Joe Flacco (7.1%) linger as contingency options amid roster uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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