Trader consensus prices a draw at 72% implied probability for Wei Yi (White) versus Hikaru Nakamura (Black) in FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 4, reflecting elite classical chess dynamics where deep opening preparation frequently yields balanced middlegames and frequent draws among grandmasters. Nakamura's 2810 Elo superiority and unbeaten tournament run—draws against Esipenko (Round 2) and Giri (19 moves, Round 3)—bolster his 22.5% win chance, while Wei Yi's 14% trails due to yesterday's shocking 19-move blunder-loss to Caruana in Round 3, dropping him to 1/3 points alongside Nakamura. Head-to-head classical history slightly favors Nakamura, amplifying trader caution in this double round-robin pressure cooker.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
下午 12:45四月 1
$1.69K Vol.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 1, 2026
If Yi Wei wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 1, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 1, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus prices a draw at 72% implied probability for Wei Yi (White) versus Hikaru Nakamura (Black) in FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 4, reflecting elite classical chess dynamics where deep opening preparation frequently yields balanced middlegames and frequent draws among grandmasters. Nakamura's 2810 Elo superiority and unbeaten tournament run—draws against Esipenko (Round 2) and Giri (19 moves, Round 3)—bolster his 22.5% win chance, while Wei Yi's 14% trails due to yesterday's shocking 19-move blunder-loss to Caruana in Round 3, dropping him to 1/3 points alongside Nakamura. Head-to-head classical history slightly favors Nakamura, amplifying trader caution in this double round-robin pressure cooker.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 1, 2026
If Yi Wei wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Yi Wei wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,689结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...下午 12:45四月 1
$1.69K Vol.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 1, 2026
If Yi Wei wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 1, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 1, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus prices a draw at 72% implied probability for Wei Yi (White) versus Hikaru Nakamura (Black) in FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 4, reflecting elite classical chess dynamics where deep opening preparation frequently yields balanced middlegames and frequent draws among grandmasters. Nakamura's 2810 Elo superiority and unbeaten tournament run—draws against Esipenko (Round 2) and Giri (19 moves, Round 3)—bolster his 22.5% win chance, while Wei Yi's 14% trails due to yesterday's shocking 19-move blunder-loss to Caruana in Round 3, dropping him to 1/3 points alongside Nakamura. Head-to-head classical history slightly favors Nakamura, amplifying trader caution in this double round-robin pressure cooker.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 1, 2026
If Yi Wei wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Yi Wei wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,689结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a draw at 72% implied probability for Wei Yi (White) versus Hikaru Nakamura (Black) in FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 4, reflecting elite classical chess dynamics where deep opening preparation frequently yields balanced middlegames and frequent draws among grandmasters. Nakamura's 2810 Elo superiority and unbeaten tournament run—draws against Esipenko (Round 2) and Giri (19 moves, Round 3)—bolster his 22.5% win chance, while Wei Yi's 14% trails due to yesterday's shocking 19-move blunder-loss to Caruana in Round 3, dropping him to 1/3 points alongside Nakamura. Head-to-head classical history slightly favors Nakamura, amplifying trader caution in this double round-robin pressure cooker.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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