Both Hikaru Nakamura and Anish Giri sit at 0.5/2 points entering Round 3 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open after Round 1 losses—Nakamura to Fabiano Caruana in an 83-move affair and Giri to R Praggnanandhaa—and Round 2 draws against Andrey Esipenko and Caruana, respectively, trailing leaders Caruana, Praggnanandhaa, and Javokhir Sindarov at 1.5. The heavy 69.5% implied probability on a draw reflects classical chess dynamics at this elite level, where world #2 Nakamura (2810) and Giri (2753) prioritize solid opening preparation and risk aversion amid mutual pressure for decisive results, historically yielding 27 draws in their classical head-to-head (Nakamura leads 5-2). Symmetric 28% win odds capture trader consensus on a closely balanced matchup despite Nakamura's edge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Draw (Hikaru Nakamura vs. Anish Giri) 70%
Hikaru Nakamura 50%
Anish Giri 28%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
Hikaru Nakamura
28%
Draw (Hikaru Nakamura vs. Anish Giri)
70%
Anish Giri
28%
Draw (Hikaru Nakamura vs. Anish Giri) 70%
Hikaru Nakamura 50%
Anish Giri 28%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
Hikaru Nakamura
$22 交易量
28%
Draw (Hikaru Nakamura vs. Anish Giri)
$0 交易量
70%
Anish Giri
$0 交易量
28%
In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If Anish Giri wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Both Hikaru Nakamura and Anish Giri sit at 0.5/2 points entering Round 3 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open after Round 1 losses—Nakamura to Fabiano Caruana in an 83-move affair and Giri to R Praggnanandhaa—and Round 2 draws against Andrey Esipenko and Caruana, respectively, trailing leaders Caruana, Praggnanandhaa, and Javokhir Sindarov at 1.5. The heavy 69.5% implied probability on a draw reflects classical chess dynamics at this elite level, where world #2 Nakamura (2810) and Giri (2753) prioritize solid opening preparation and risk aversion amid mutual pressure for decisive results, historically yielding 27 draws in their classical head-to-head (Nakamura leads 5-2). Symmetric 28% win odds capture trader consensus on a closely balanced matchup despite Nakamura's edge.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间： Mar 30, 2026, 10:09 PM ET
交易量
$22结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 10:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If Anish Giri wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Both Hikaru Nakamura and Anish Giri sit at 0.5/2 points entering Round 3 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open after Round 1 losses—Nakamura to Fabiano Caruana in an 83-move affair and Giri to R Praggnanandhaa—and Round 2 draws against Andrey Esipenko and Caruana, respectively, trailing leaders Caruana, Praggnanandhaa, and Javokhir Sindarov at 1.5. The heavy 69.5% implied probability on a draw reflects classical chess dynamics at this elite level, where world #2 Nakamura (2810) and Giri (2753) prioritize solid opening preparation and risk aversion amid mutual pressure for decisive results, historically yielding 27 draws in their classical head-to-head (Nakamura leads 5-2). Symmetric 28% win odds capture trader consensus on a closely balanced matchup despite Nakamura's edge.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
交易量
$22结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 10:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Both Hikaru Nakamura and Anish Giri sit at 0.5/2 points entering Round 3 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open after Round 1 losses—Nakamura to Fabiano Caruana in an 83-move affair and Giri to R Praggnanandhaa—and Round 2 draws against Andrey Esipenko and Caruana, respectively, trailing leaders Caruana, Praggnanandhaa, and Javokhir Sindarov at 1.5. The heavy 69.5% implied probability on a draw reflects classical chess dynamics at this elite level, where world #2 Nakamura (2810) and Giri (2753) prioritize solid opening preparation and risk aversion amid mutual pressure for decisive results, historically yielding 27 draws in their classical head-to-head (Nakamura leads 5-2). Symmetric 28% win odds capture trader consensus on a closely balanced matchup despite Nakamura's edge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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