The solidly Democratic character of California's 37th congressional district, anchored in Los Angeles County with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5% for the 2026 House election. Incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured 78% in the 2024 general and faces a crowded but largely intra-party primary on June 2 under the state's top-two system, with forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Limited Republican filing activity and the district's consistent margins above 50 points in recent cycles reinforce the positioning ahead of the November general. A major scandal involving the Democratic nominee, a health-related withdrawal before the general, or an unprecedented national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established voting patterns in this urban, heavily Democratic area.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$381 交易量
94%
共和党
$312 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic character of California's 37th congressional district, anchored in Los Angeles County with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5% for the 2026 House election. Incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured 78% in the 2024 general and faces a crowded but largely intra-party primary on June 2 under the state's top-two system, with forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Limited Republican filing activity and the district's consistent margins above 50 points in recent cycles reinforce the positioning ahead of the November general. A major scandal involving the Democratic nominee, a health-related withdrawal before the general, or an unprecedented national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established voting patterns in this urban, heavily Democratic area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$693结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic character of California's 37th congressional district, anchored in Los Angeles County with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5% for the 2026 House election. Incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured 78% in the 2024 general and faces a crowded but largely intra-party primary on June 2 under the state's top-two system, with forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Limited Republican filing activity and the district's consistent margins above 50 points in recent cycles reinforce the positioning ahead of the November general. A major scandal involving the Democratic nominee, a health-related withdrawal before the general, or an unprecedented national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established voting patterns in this urban, heavily Democratic area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$693结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Democratic character of California's 37th congressional district, anchored in Los Angeles County with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5% for the 2026 House election. Incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured 78% in the 2024 general and faces a crowded but largely intra-party primary on June 2 under the state's top-two system, with forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Limited Republican filing activity and the district's consistent margins above 50 points in recent cycles reinforce the positioning ahead of the November general. A major scandal involving the Democratic nominee, a health-related withdrawal before the general, or an unprecedented national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established voting patterns in this urban, heavily Democratic area.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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