Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win California's 37th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's extreme partisan lean (D+33 Cook PVI, the 10th most Democratic nationally) and 63% Democratic voter registration. Incumbent Rep. Sydney Kamlager-Dove's strong 2024 general election victory (78% share) and reelection bid bolster this positioning, with recent redistricting leaving boundaries largely unchanged in south and southwest Los Angeles. Multiple Democratic primary challengers have filed ahead of the March 6 deadline, but the Republican field remains weak, featuring perennial candidate Baltazar Fedalizo. The June 2 top-two primary could advance two Democrats to November, barring an unlikely GOP surge. Realistic challenges include a major incumbent scandal, high-profile Republican recruitment, or a national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$0 交易量
94%
共和党
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win California's 37th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's extreme partisan lean (D+33 Cook PVI, the 10th most Democratic nationally) and 63% Democratic voter registration. Incumbent Rep. Sydney Kamlager-Dove's strong 2024 general election victory (78% share) and reelection bid bolster this positioning, with recent redistricting leaving boundaries largely unchanged in south and southwest Los Angeles. Multiple Democratic primary challengers have filed ahead of the March 6 deadline, but the Republican field remains weak, featuring perennial candidate Baltazar Fedalizo. The June 2 top-two primary could advance two Democrats to November, barring an unlikely GOP surge. Realistic challenges include a major incumbent scandal, high-profile Republican recruitment, or a national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win California's 37th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's extreme partisan lean (D+33 Cook PVI, the 10th most Democratic nationally) and 63% Democratic voter registration. Incumbent Rep. Sydney Kamlager-Dove's strong 2024 general election victory (78% share) and reelection bid bolster this positioning, with recent redistricting leaving boundaries largely unchanged in south and southwest Los Angeles. Multiple Democratic primary challengers have filed ahead of the March 6 deadline, but the Republican field remains weak, featuring perennial candidate Baltazar Fedalizo. The June 2 top-two primary could advance two Democrats to November, barring an unlikely GOP surge. Realistic challenges include a major incumbent scandal, high-profile Republican recruitment, or a national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win California's 37th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's extreme partisan lean (D+33 Cook PVI, the 10th most Democratic nationally) and 63% Democratic voter registration. Incumbent Rep. Sydney Kamlager-Dove's strong 2024 general election victory (78% share) and reelection bid bolster this positioning, with recent redistricting leaving boundaries largely unchanged in south and southwest Los Angeles. Multiple Democratic primary challengers have filed ahead of the March 6 deadline, but the Republican field remains weak, featuring perennial candidate Baltazar Fedalizo. The June 2 top-two primary could advance two Democrats to November, barring an unlikely GOP surge. Realistic challenges include a major incumbent scandal, high-profile Republican recruitment, or a national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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