Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for Allbirds (BIRD) to beat consensus GAAP EPS estimates for its Q4 2025 results, due in March 31, 2026, reflecting the company's recent streak of surpassing analyst forecasts in all four prior quarters amid ongoing cost controls. Key drivers include January's announcement to shutter remaining U.S. full-price stores by February's end, redirecting resources to e-commerce and outlets for SG&A savings—anticipated to be detailed on the earnings call—which have helped narrow per-share losses despite revenue stagnation around $56 million versus year-ago levels. While revenue trends remain challenged in the direct-to-consumer footwear space, BIRD's execution on profitability initiatives has bolstered sentiment, though sustained sales momentum will be critical for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
Mar 10, 2026
是
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
Mar 10, 2026
As of market creation, Allbirds is estimated to release earnings on March 10, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Allbirds's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-2.28 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Allbirds reports GAAP EPS greater than $-2.28 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Allbirds releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for Allbirds (BIRD) to beat consensus GAAP EPS estimates for its Q4 2025 results, due in March 31, 2026, reflecting the company's recent streak of surpassing analyst forecasts in all four prior quarters amid ongoing cost controls. Key drivers include January's announcement to shutter remaining U.S. full-price stores by February's end, redirecting resources to e-commerce and outlets for SG&A savings—anticipated to be detailed on the earnings call—which have helped narrow per-share losses despite revenue stagnation around $56 million versus year-ago levels. While revenue trends remain challenged in the direct-to-consumer footwear space, BIRD's execution on profitability initiatives has bolstered sentiment, though sustained sales momentum will be critical for resolution.
As of market creation, Allbirds is estimated to release earnings on March 10, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Allbirds's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-2.28 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Allbirds reports GAAP EPS greater than $-2.28 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Allbirds releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Allbirds releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
市场开放时间： Feb 24, 2026, 12:32 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 10, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 24, 2026, 12:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, Allbirds is estimated to release earnings on March 10, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Allbirds's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-2.28 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Allbirds reports GAAP EPS greater than $-2.28 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Allbirds releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for Allbirds (BIRD) to beat consensus GAAP EPS estimates for its Q4 2025 results, due in March 31, 2026, reflecting the company's recent streak of surpassing analyst forecasts in all four prior quarters amid ongoing cost controls. Key drivers include January's announcement to shutter remaining U.S. full-price stores by February's end, redirecting resources to e-commerce and outlets for SG&A savings—anticipated to be detailed on the earnings call—which have helped narrow per-share losses despite revenue stagnation around $56 million versus year-ago levels. While revenue trends remain challenged in the direct-to-consumer footwear space, BIRD's execution on profitability initiatives has bolstered sentiment, though sustained sales momentum will be critical for resolution.
As of market creation, Allbirds is estimated to release earnings on March 10, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Allbirds's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-2.28 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Allbirds reports GAAP EPS greater than $-2.28 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Allbirds releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Allbirds releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 10, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 24, 2026, 12:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for Allbirds (BIRD) to beat consensus GAAP EPS estimates for its Q4 2025 results, due in March 31, 2026, reflecting the company's recent streak of surpassing analyst forecasts in all four prior quarters amid ongoing cost controls. Key drivers include January's announcement to shutter remaining U.S. full-price stores by February's end, redirecting resources to e-commerce and outlets for SG&A savings—anticipated to be detailed on the earnings call—which have helped narrow per-share losses despite revenue stagnation around $56 million versus year-ago levels. While revenue trends remain challenged in the direct-to-consumer footwear space, BIRD's execution on profitability initiatives has bolstered sentiment, though sustained sales momentum will be critical for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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