Polymarket traders assign a 64.5% implied probability to Allbirds (BIRD) beating Q2 earnings consensus, reflecting optimism around ongoing gross margin expansion and cost efficiencies despite persistent revenue headwinds. Recent Q1 results showed revenue of $33.1 million slightly missing estimates but with gross margins improving to 52.1% from supply chain optimizations, including production shifts to Vietnam set to accelerate in Q3. The stock rallied over 15% last week on elevated trading volume, buoyed by new product launches like the Airman shoe and analyst upgrades citing a narrowing loss trajectory—consensus calls for $35.1 million revenue (down 10% year-over-year) and EPS of -$0.21. Key catalyst: August 8 earnings release, where beats could hinge on DTC sales momentum and updated guidance amid competitive footwear pressures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
Mar 10, 2026
是
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
Mar 10, 2026
As of market creation, Allbirds is estimated to release earnings on March 10, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Allbirds's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-2.28 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Allbirds reports GAAP EPS greater than $-2.28 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Allbirds releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Polymarket traders assign a 64.5% implied probability to Allbirds (BIRD) beating Q2 earnings consensus, reflecting optimism around ongoing gross margin expansion and cost efficiencies despite persistent revenue headwinds. Recent Q1 results showed revenue of $33.1 million slightly missing estimates but with gross margins improving to 52.1% from supply chain optimizations, including production shifts to Vietnam set to accelerate in Q3. The stock rallied over 15% last week on elevated trading volume, buoyed by new product launches like the Airman shoe and analyst upgrades citing a narrowing loss trajectory—consensus calls for $35.1 million revenue (down 10% year-over-year) and EPS of -$0.21. Key catalyst: August 8 earnings release, where beats could hinge on DTC sales momentum and updated guidance amid competitive footwear pressures.
As of market creation, Allbirds is estimated to release earnings on March 10, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Allbirds's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-2.28 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Allbirds reports GAAP EPS greater than $-2.28 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Allbirds releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Allbirds releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
市场开放时间： Feb 24, 2026, 12:32 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 10, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 24, 2026, 12:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, Allbirds is estimated to release earnings on March 10, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Allbirds's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-2.28 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Allbirds reports GAAP EPS greater than $-2.28 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Allbirds releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Polymarket traders assign a 64.5% implied probability to Allbirds (BIRD) beating Q2 earnings consensus, reflecting optimism around ongoing gross margin expansion and cost efficiencies despite persistent revenue headwinds. Recent Q1 results showed revenue of $33.1 million slightly missing estimates but with gross margins improving to 52.1% from supply chain optimizations, including production shifts to Vietnam set to accelerate in Q3. The stock rallied over 15% last week on elevated trading volume, buoyed by new product launches like the Airman shoe and analyst upgrades citing a narrowing loss trajectory—consensus calls for $35.1 million revenue (down 10% year-over-year) and EPS of -$0.21. Key catalyst: August 8 earnings release, where beats could hinge on DTC sales momentum and updated guidance amid competitive footwear pressures.
As of market creation, Allbirds is estimated to release earnings on March 10, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Allbirds's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-2.28 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Allbirds reports GAAP EPS greater than $-2.28 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Allbirds releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Allbirds releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 10, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 24, 2026, 12:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 64.5% implied probability to Allbirds (BIRD) beating Q2 earnings consensus, reflecting optimism around ongoing gross margin expansion and cost efficiencies despite persistent revenue headwinds. Recent Q1 results showed revenue of $33.1 million slightly missing estimates but with gross margins improving to 52.1% from supply chain optimizations, including production shifts to Vietnam set to accelerate in Q3. The stock rallied over 15% last week on elevated trading volume, buoyed by new product launches like the Airman shoe and analyst upgrades citing a narrowing loss trajectory—consensus calls for $35.1 million revenue (down 10% year-over-year) and EPS of -$0.21. Key catalyst: August 8 earnings release, where beats could hinge on DTC sales momentum and updated guidance amid competitive footwear pressures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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