Lamine Yamal's Euro 2024 heroics and Barcelona breakout propel him to a slim 31.5% trader edge for the 2026 Ballon d'Or, but Kylian Mbappé's Real Madrid integration and Harry Kane's Bundesliga scoring spree (over 30 goals last season) maintain a razor-thin race at 24.5% and 21.9%. The looming 2026 World Cup—pitting Spain, France, and England as medal contenders—amplifies uncertainty, as national team glory often trumps club feats in voting. Youth momentum for Yamal contrasts Mbappé's adaptation challenges and Kane's award drought, with Champions League runs and injury resilience key wild cards keeping probabilities bunched amid volatile trajectories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年金球奖得主
2026年金球奖得主
拉明·亚马尔 32%
基利安·姆巴佩 25%
哈里·凯恩 21.9%
佩德里 4.0%
$910,360 交易量
$910,360 交易量
Oct 31, 2026
拉明·亚马尔
32%
基利安·姆巴佩
25%
哈里·凯恩
22%
佩德里
4%
裘德·贝林厄姆
2%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔
2%
奥斯曼·登贝莱
2%
科尔·帕尔默
2%
埃尔林·哈兰德
1%
穆罕默德·萨拉赫
1%
拉明·亚马尔 32%
基利安·姆巴佩 25%
哈里·凯恩 21.9%
佩德里 4.0%
$910,360 交易量
$910,360 交易量
Oct 31, 2026
拉明·亚马尔
$28,068 交易量
32%
基利安·姆巴佩
$58,383 交易量
25%
哈里·凯恩
$106,705 交易量
22%
佩德里
$0 交易量
4%
裘德·贝林厄姆
$0 交易量
2%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔
$282,680 交易量
2%
奥斯曼·登贝莱
$177,694 交易量
2%
科尔·帕尔默
$0 交易量
2%
埃尔林·哈兰德
$153,941 交易量
1%
穆罕默德·萨拉赫
$102,890 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
交易量
$910,360结束日期
Oct 31, 2026市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$910,360结束日期
Oct 31, 2026市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lamine Yamal's Euro 2024 heroics and Barcelona breakout propel him to a slim 31.5% trader edge for the 2026 Ballon d'Or, but Kylian Mbappé's Real Madrid integration and Harry Kane's Bundesliga scoring spree (over 30 goals last season) maintain a razor-thin race at 24.5% and 21.9%. The looming 2026 World Cup—pitting Spain, France, and England as medal contenders—amplifies uncertainty, as national team glory often trumps club feats in voting. Youth momentum for Yamal contrasts Mbappé's adaptation challenges and Kane's award drought, with Champions League runs and injury resilience key wild cards keeping probabilities bunched amid volatile trajectories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题