Trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d'Or tightly clusters Lamine Yamal at 32%, Kylian Mbappé at 24.5%, and Harry Kane at 24.4%, reflecting uncertainty around the 2026 World Cup's decisive influence on individual accolades. Yamal's meteoric rise at Barcelona, fueled by Euro 2024 brilliance and Spain's international edge, edges him ahead, but Mbappé's Real Madrid firepower—pairing with Vinícius Júnior and Jude Bellingham for Champions League pursuits—keeps France's star in striking distance. Kane's prolific Bayern output and England's contender status sustain his bid, as traders weigh youth potential against proven goal hauls amid volatile club trophy races and national team heroics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年金球奖得主
2026年金球奖得主
拉明·亚马尔 32%
基利安·姆巴佩 25%
哈里·凯恩 24.4%
佩德里 4.0%
$910,474 交易量
$910,474 交易量
Oct 31, 2026
拉明·亚马尔
32%
基利安·姆巴佩
25%
哈里·凯恩
24%
佩德里
4%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔
2%
裘德·贝林厄姆
2%
奥斯曼·登贝莱
2%
科尔·帕尔默
2%
埃尔林·哈兰德
1%
穆罕默德·萨拉赫
1%
拉明·亚马尔 32%
基利安·姆巴佩 25%
哈里·凯恩 24.4%
佩德里 4.0%
$910,474 交易量
$910,474 交易量
Oct 31, 2026
拉明·亚马尔
$28,138 交易量
32%
基利安·姆巴佩
$58,383 交易量
25%
哈里·凯恩
$106,745 交易量
24%
佩德里
$0 交易量
4%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔
$282,680 交易量
2%
裘德·贝林厄姆
$0 交易量
2%
奥斯曼·登贝莱
$177,697 交易量
2%
科尔·帕尔默
$0 交易量
2%
埃尔林·哈兰德
$153,941 交易量
1%
穆罕默德·萨拉赫
$102,890 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
交易量
$910,474结束日期
Oct 31, 2026市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$910,474结束日期
Oct 31, 2026市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d'Or tightly clusters Lamine Yamal at 32%, Kylian Mbappé at 24.5%, and Harry Kane at 24.4%, reflecting uncertainty around the 2026 World Cup's decisive influence on individual accolades. Yamal's meteoric rise at Barcelona, fueled by Euro 2024 brilliance and Spain's international edge, edges him ahead, but Mbappé's Real Madrid firepower—pairing with Vinícius Júnior and Jude Bellingham for Champions League pursuits—keeps France's star in striking distance. Kane's prolific Bayern output and England's contender status sustain his bid, as traders weigh youth potential against proven goal hauls amid volatile club trophy races and national team heroics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题