Market icon
体育·NCAA

2026年NCAA锦标赛冠军

Market icon
体育·NCAA

2026年NCAA锦标赛冠军

亚利桑那 27.3%

密歇根 21%

杜克 18%

伊利诺伊 13.4%

Polymarket

$20,902,817 交易量

亚利桑那 27.3%

密歇根 21%

杜克 18%

伊利诺伊 13.4%

Polymarket

$20,902,817 交易量

亚利桑那

$1,009,213 交易量

27%

密歇根

$865,266 交易量

21%

杜克

$791,099 交易量

18%

伊利诺伊

$1,236,819 交易量

13%

普渡大学

$3,227,375 交易量

6%

爱荷华州立大学

$2,497,139 交易量

5%

康涅狄格

$2,202,004 交易量

4%

密歇根州立大学

$833,796 交易量

2%

爱荷华

$928,127 交易量

2%

圣约翰大学

$781,069 交易量

2%

田纳西

$932,210 交易量

1%

阿拉巴马

$834,892 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Arizona leads trader consensus at 27.3% implied probability for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title, buoyed by its top-ranked 2025 recruiting class featuring elite prospects like five-star guards Joson Sanon and Shelton Henderson, positioning the Wildcats for a reload around returning core pieces. Michigan (20.5%) has surged via new coach Dusty May's aggressive transfer portal moves, landing high-impact additions like FAU holdovers and Big Ten-caliber wings to accelerate its rebuild post-apocalyptic 2023-24. Duke (17.5%) remains a perennial threat with Jon Scheyer's blue-chip pipeline, including versatile forwards, while Illinois (13.5%) and Purdue (6.2%) leverage Big Ten depth, returning production, and portal reinforcements. The bunched top tier reflects offseason parity amid NIL-driven transfers, conference realignment strengthening the Big Ten, and uncertainty over freshman integration, keeping the March Madness futures race wide-open.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
交易量
$20,902,817
结束日期
Apr 4, 2026
市场开放时间
Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Arizona leads trader consensus at 27.3% implied probability for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title, buoyed by its top-ranked 2025 recruiting class featuring elite prospects like five-star guards Joson Sanon and Shelton Henderson, positioning the Wildcats for a reload around returning core pieces. Michigan (20.5%) has surged via new coach Dusty May's aggressive transfer portal moves, landing high-impact additions like FAU holdovers and Big Ten-caliber wings to accelerate its rebuild post-apocalyptic 2023-24. Duke (17.5%) remains a perennial threat with Jon Scheyer's blue-chip pipeline, including versatile forwards, while Illinois (13.5%) and Purdue (6.2%) leverage Big Ten depth, returning production, and portal reinforcements. The bunched top tier reflects offseason parity amid NIL-driven transfers, conference realignment strengthening the Big Ten, and uncertainty over freshman integration, keeping the March Madness futures race wide-open.

Arizona leads trader consensus at 27.3% implied probability for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title, buoyed by its top-ranked 2025 recruiting class featuring elite prospects like five-star guards Joson Sanon and Shelton Henderson, positioning the Wildcats for a reload around returning core pieces. Michigan (20.5%) has surged via new coach Dusty May's aggressive transfer portal moves, landing high-impact additions like FAU holdovers and Big Ten-caliber wings to accelerate its rebuild post-apocalyptic 2023-24. Duke (17.5%) remains a perennial threat with Jon Scheyer's blue-chip pipeline, including versatile forwards, while Illinois (13.5%) and Purdue (6.2%) leverage Big Ten depth, returning production, and portal reinforcements. The bunched top tier reflects offseason parity amid NIL-driven transfers, conference realignment strengthening the Big Ten, and uncertainty over freshman integration, keeping the March Madness futures race wide-open.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年NCAA锦标赛冠军"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 70+ 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"亚利桑那"，概率为 27%，其次是"密歇根"，概率为 21%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 27¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 27%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2026年NCAA锦标赛冠军"已产生 $20.9 million 的总交易量（自Oct 31, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年NCAA锦标赛冠军"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 70+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年NCAA锦标赛冠军"的当前领先者是"亚利桑那"，概率为 27%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 27%。紧随其后的结果是"密歇根"，概率为 21%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年NCAA锦标赛冠军"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。