Elite recruiting classes and key transfer portal additions drive the bunched trader consensus atop the 2026 NCAA Tournament winner market, with Arizona (19.8%), Michigan (18.5%), and Duke (17.5%) reflecting high expectations for their loaded 2025-26 rosters amid ongoing parity. Arizona's edge stems from top-ranked freshmen and K.J. Lewis's return, bolstering Tommy Lloyd's system, while Michigan's surge under Dusty May highlights five-star commits like Danny Wolf anchoring a rebuilt frontcourt after a strong 2024-25 turnaround. Duke relies on Jon Scheyer's pipeline, including Nolan Essengue's upside post-Flagg era. Florida lurks at 9.3% via SEC depth, but NBA draft outflows and NIL flux create uncertainty, keeping the race fluid as schedules firm up and early-season form emerges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于亚利桑那 19.8%
密歇根 19%
杜克 18%
佛罗里达 9.4%
$21,510,009 交易量
$21,510,009 交易量
亚利桑那
20%
密歇根
19%
杜克
18%
佛罗里达
9%
休斯顿
7%
爱荷华州立大学
4%
普渡大学
4%
伊利诺伊
4%
康涅狄格
3%
阿肯色
2%
圣约翰大学
2%
密歇根州立大学
2%
冈萨加
2%
UCLA
1%
堪萨斯
1%
范德堡
1%
田纳西
1%
弗吉尼亚
1%
阿拉巴马
1%
路易斯维尔
<1%
德克萨斯理工大学
<1%
内布拉斯加
<1%
德克萨斯农工大学
<1%
爱荷华
<1%
迈阿密(佛罗里达)
<1%
肯塔基
<1%
圣路易斯
<1%
TCU
<1%
High Point
<1%
VCU
<1%
德克萨斯
<1%
犹他州立大学
<1%
亚利桑那 19.8%
密歇根 19%
杜克 18%
佛罗里达 9.4%
$21,510,009 交易量
$21,510,009 交易量
亚利桑那
20%
密歇根
19%
杜克
18%
佛罗里达
9%
休斯顿
7%
爱荷华州立大学
4%
普渡大学
4%
伊利诺伊
4%
康涅狄格
3%
阿肯色
2%
圣约翰大学
2%
密歇根州立大学
2%
冈萨加
2%
UCLA
1%
堪萨斯
1%
范德堡
1%
田纳西
1%
弗吉尼亚
1%
阿拉巴马
1%
路易斯维尔
<1%
德克萨斯理工大学
<1%
内布拉斯加
<1%
德克萨斯农工大学
<1%
爱荷华
<1%
迈阿密(佛罗里达)
<1%
肯塔基
<1%
圣路易斯
<1%
TCU
<1%
High Point
<1%
VCU
<1%
德克萨斯
<1%
犹他州立大学
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
市场开放时间: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elite recruiting classes and key transfer portal additions drive the bunched trader consensus atop the 2026 NCAA Tournament winner market, with Arizona (19.8%), Michigan (18.5%), and Duke (17.5%) reflecting high expectations for their loaded 2025-26 rosters amid ongoing parity. Arizona's edge stems from top-ranked freshmen and K.J. Lewis's return, bolstering Tommy Lloyd's system, while Michigan's surge under Dusty May highlights five-star commits like Danny Wolf anchoring a rebuilt frontcourt after a strong 2024-25 turnaround. Duke relies on Jon Scheyer's pipeline, including Nolan Essengue's upside post-Flagg era. Florida lurks at 9.3% via SEC depth, but NBA draft outflows and NIL flux create uncertainty, keeping the race fluid as schedules firm up and early-season form emerges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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