Trader consensus for the 2026 NCAA Tournament champion shows razor-thin separation among frontrunners Arizona, Michigan, and Duke, driven by offseason parity fueled by elite recruiting classes and transfer portal windfalls. Arizona leads slightly after landing five-star guards like Joson Sanon and a deep portal class bolstering Tommy Lloyd's up-tempo attack, while Michigan's Dusty May imported FAU's gritty style with top transfers like Nimari Burnett. Duke's Cooper Flagg anchors a one-and-done powerhouse, but no team boasts overwhelming returning production amid widespread roster turnover. Florida and Houston lurk with defensive anchors and portal reinforcements, underscoring how NIL-era mobility and youth influxes keep the futures market tightly contested ahead of non-conference play.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于亚利桑那 19.9%
密歇根 20%
杜克 18%
佛罗里达 9.3%
$21,699,298 交易量
$21,699,298 交易量
亚利桑那
20%
密歇根
20%
杜克
18%
佛罗里达
9%
休斯顿
6%
普渡大学
5%
爱荷华州立大学
4%
伊利诺伊
4%
康涅狄格
3%
阿肯色
2%
密歇根州立大学
2%
圣约翰大学
2%
冈萨加
1%
堪萨斯
1%
田纳西
1%
UCLA
1%
弗吉尼亚
1%
范德堡
1%
迈阿密(佛罗里达)
1%
阿拉巴马
<1%
德克萨斯理工大学
<1%
内布拉斯加
<1%
肯塔基
<1%
德克萨斯农工大学
<1%
TCU
<1%
爱荷华
<1%
犹他州立大学
<1%
路易斯维尔
<1%
VCU
<1%
圣路易斯
<1%
High Point
<1%
德克萨斯
<1%
亚利桑那 19.9%
密歇根 20%
杜克 18%
佛罗里达 9.3%
$21,699,298 交易量
$21,699,298 交易量
亚利桑那
20%
密歇根
20%
杜克
18%
佛罗里达
9%
休斯顿
6%
普渡大学
5%
爱荷华州立大学
4%
伊利诺伊
4%
康涅狄格
3%
阿肯色
2%
密歇根州立大学
2%
圣约翰大学
2%
冈萨加
1%
堪萨斯
1%
田纳西
1%
UCLA
1%
弗吉尼亚
1%
范德堡
1%
迈阿密(佛罗里达)
1%
阿拉巴马
<1%
德克萨斯理工大学
<1%
内布拉斯加
<1%
肯塔基
<1%
德克萨斯农工大学
<1%
TCU
<1%
爱荷华
<1%
犹他州立大学
<1%
路易斯维尔
<1%
VCU
<1%
圣路易斯
<1%
High Point
<1%
德克萨斯
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
市场开放时间: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus for the 2026 NCAA Tournament champion shows razor-thin separation among frontrunners Arizona, Michigan, and Duke, driven by offseason parity fueled by elite recruiting classes and transfer portal windfalls. Arizona leads slightly after landing five-star guards like Joson Sanon and a deep portal class bolstering Tommy Lloyd's up-tempo attack, while Michigan's Dusty May imported FAU's gritty style with top transfers like Nimari Burnett. Duke's Cooper Flagg anchors a one-and-done powerhouse, but no team boasts overwhelming returning production amid widespread roster turnover. Florida and Houston lurk with defensive anchors and portal reinforcements, underscoring how NIL-era mobility and youth influxes keep the futures market tightly contested ahead of non-conference play.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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