Trader consensus favors Arizona (27%), Michigan (24%), and Duke (23%) to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament, with probabilities tightly bunched amid chalky Sweet 16 results on March 27 that advanced all three No. 1 seeds to today's Elite Eight. Arizona solidified its slight edge after dominating its second-round matchup, while Michigan and Duke overcame minor injury concerns—such as Duke's Caleb Foster sidelined by a foot fracture—to punch Final Four tickets with home-court advantages in later rounds. Illinois (12%) surges on its South Region semifinal vs. Iowa, but the top trio's superior regular-season form, head-to-head edges, and favorable bracket paths keep the national title race intensely competitive, underscoring March Madness unpredictability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于亚利桑那 26.8%
密歇根 24%
杜克 23%
伊利诺伊 11.9%
$22,018,253 交易量
$22,018,253 交易量
亚利桑那
27%
密歇根
24%
杜克
23%
伊利诺伊
12%
康涅狄格
6%
普渡大学
5%
田纳西
3%
爱荷华
2%
亚利桑那 26.8%
密歇根 24%
杜克 23%
伊利诺伊 11.9%
$22,018,253 交易量
$22,018,253 交易量
亚利桑那
27%
密歇根
24%
杜克
23%
伊利诺伊
12%
康涅狄格
6%
普渡大学
5%
田纳西
3%
爱荷华
2%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
市场开放时间: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Arizona (27%), Michigan (24%), and Duke (23%) to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament, with probabilities tightly bunched amid chalky Sweet 16 results on March 27 that advanced all three No. 1 seeds to today's Elite Eight. Arizona solidified its slight edge after dominating its second-round matchup, while Michigan and Duke overcame minor injury concerns—such as Duke's Caleb Foster sidelined by a foot fracture—to punch Final Four tickets with home-court advantages in later rounds. Illinois (12%) surges on its South Region semifinal vs. Iowa, but the top trio's superior regular-season form, head-to-head edges, and favorable bracket paths keep the national title race intensely competitive, underscoring March Madness unpredictability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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