Trader sentiment for the 2026 NCAA Tournament winner hinges on elite recruiting classes landing top high school prospects and savvy transfer portal moves, with Arizona (19.9%), Michigan (18.5%), and Duke (17.5%) clustered tightly due to comparable hauls. Arizona leads slightly on continuity from Tommy Lloyd's system and a top-ranked class featuring guards like Joson Sanon; Michigan surges behind Dusty May's FAU blueprint and key additions like Vladislav Goldin; Duke pins hopes on No. 1 recruit Cooper Flagg's transformative upside alongside Khaman Maluach. This parity underscores offseason uncertainties—portal reshuffles, freshman development, and coaching tweaks—keeping implied probabilities razor-thin amid historical volatility where top seeds falter and mid-majors surprise.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于亚利桑那 19.9%
密歇根 19%
杜克 18%
佛罗里达 9.4%
$21,536,836 交易量
$21,536,836 交易量
亚利桑那
20%
密歇根
19%
杜克
18%
佛罗里达
9%
休斯顿
7%
伊利诺伊
5%
爱荷华州立大学
4%
普渡大学
4%
康涅狄格
3%
阿肯色
2%
密歇根州立大学
2%
圣约翰大学
2%
冈萨加
1%
堪萨斯
1%
UCLA
1%
范德堡
1%
田纳西
1%
弗吉尼亚
1%
阿拉巴马
1%
迈阿密(佛罗里达)
1%
内布拉斯加
1%
德克萨斯理工大学
<1%
路易斯维尔
<1%
德克萨斯农工大学
<1%
肯塔基
<1%
爱荷华
<1%
圣路易斯
<1%
TCU
<1%
High Point
<1%
VCU
<1%
德克萨斯
<1%
犹他州立大学
<1%
亚利桑那 19.9%
密歇根 19%
杜克 18%
佛罗里达 9.4%
$21,536,836 交易量
$21,536,836 交易量
亚利桑那
20%
密歇根
19%
杜克
18%
佛罗里达
9%
休斯顿
7%
伊利诺伊
5%
爱荷华州立大学
4%
普渡大学
4%
康涅狄格
3%
阿肯色
2%
密歇根州立大学
2%
圣约翰大学
2%
冈萨加
1%
堪萨斯
1%
UCLA
1%
范德堡
1%
田纳西
1%
弗吉尼亚
1%
阿拉巴马
1%
迈阿密(佛罗里达)
1%
内布拉斯加
1%
德克萨斯理工大学
<1%
路易斯维尔
<1%
德克萨斯农工大学
<1%
肯塔基
<1%
爱荷华
<1%
圣路易斯
<1%
TCU
<1%
High Point
<1%
VCU
<1%
德克萨斯
<1%
犹他州立大学
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
市场开放时间: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment for the 2026 NCAA Tournament winner hinges on elite recruiting classes landing top high school prospects and savvy transfer portal moves, with Arizona (19.9%), Michigan (18.5%), and Duke (17.5%) clustered tightly due to comparable hauls. Arizona leads slightly on continuity from Tommy Lloyd's system and a top-ranked class featuring guards like Joson Sanon; Michigan surges behind Dusty May's FAU blueprint and key additions like Vladislav Goldin; Duke pins hopes on No. 1 recruit Cooper Flagg's transformative upside alongside Khaman Maluach. This parity underscores offseason uncertainties—portal reshuffles, freshman development, and coaching tweaks—keeping implied probabilities razor-thin amid historical volatility where top seeds falter and mid-majors surprise.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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