Michigan and Arizona lead trader consensus for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title at 34.5% and 32.9% implied probabilities, respectively, after both No. 1 seeds advanced to the Final Four with dominant 30-win regular seasons and unscathed tournament paths through the Elite Eight. Michigan's Big Ten championship, 33-3 record, and standout play from Big Ten Player of the Year Yaxel Lendeborg have fueled their slight edge, while Arizona's 32-2 mark and early-season dominance keep them neck-and-neck despite a tougher West Region draw. Illinois (18.3%) and UConn (13.9%) trail as resilient underdogs, with the Illini's Big Ten depth and Huskies' championship pedigree underscoring March Madness' upset potential in these evenly matched semifinals on April 4.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于密歇根 35%
亚利桑那 32.7%
伊利诺伊 18.3%
康涅狄格 13.9%
$24,545,695 交易量
$24,545,695 交易量
密歇根
35%
亚利桑那
33%
伊利诺伊
18%
康涅狄格
14%
密歇根 35%
亚利桑那 32.7%
伊利诺伊 18.3%
康涅狄格 13.9%
$24,545,695 交易量
$24,545,695 交易量
密歇根
35%
亚利桑那
33%
伊利诺伊
18%
康涅狄格
14%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
市场开放时间: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Michigan and Arizona lead trader consensus for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title at 34.5% and 32.9% implied probabilities, respectively, after both No. 1 seeds advanced to the Final Four with dominant 30-win regular seasons and unscathed tournament paths through the Elite Eight. Michigan's Big Ten championship, 33-3 record, and standout play from Big Ten Player of the Year Yaxel Lendeborg have fueled their slight edge, while Arizona's 32-2 mark and early-season dominance keep them neck-and-neck despite a tougher West Region draw. Illinois (18.3%) and UConn (13.9%) trail as resilient underdogs, with the Illini's Big Ten depth and Huskies' championship pedigree underscoring March Madness' upset potential in these evenly matched semifinals on April 4.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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